Race 13C

boston-dinghy-cup

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

37.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Mateo Vargas 13.7% 13.3% 10.8% 9.9% 11.4% 8.6% 7.4% 5.5% 5.7% 4.9% 3.9% 2.0% 1.6% 0.7% 0.6% 0.0%
Brendan Cook 5.8% 6.9% 6.7% 7.9% 7.0% 5.9% 7.6% 7.0% 6.2% 7.0% 7.4% 7.8% 7.3% 5.2% 3.0% 1.3%
Bradley Adam 10.9% 9.9% 8.6% 9.5% 10.4% 7.9% 7.8% 8.4% 9.1% 4.5% 4.4% 3.4% 2.0% 1.9% 1.2% 0.1%
Max Nickbarg 7.6% 10.8% 9.3% 7.4% 8.2% 9.4% 8.1% 7.2% 7.0% 6.2% 5.7% 5.4% 4.4% 2.2% 1.0% 0.1%
Nathan Allman 6.8% 5.8% 7.8% 9.0% 6.2% 7.4% 8.4% 6.5% 7.5% 7.1% 6.9% 6.7% 7.8% 3.6% 2.0% 0.5%
Jordan Bothwick 5.5% 3.2% 5.4% 6.9% 6.6% 6.3% 6.7% 7.0% 6.7% 6.6% 8.4% 7.9% 7.4% 9.1% 4.3% 2.0%
Gram Slattery 6.3% 7.0% 6.5% 5.3% 6.2% 7.5% 6.5% 7.3% 6.8% 8.7% 7.3% 6.8% 7.9% 5.4% 3.9% 0.6%
David Larson 7.2% 9.1% 5.8% 7.4% 7.4% 7.1% 6.4% 7.8% 8.5% 8.4% 6.6% 5.9% 5.4% 3.9% 2.6% 0.5%
Ian Storck 6.7% 6.4% 6.2% 6.7% 7.8% 6.3% 8.0% 7.9% 7.3% 7.8% 6.2% 7.9% 5.8% 4.4% 3.4% 1.2%
Ian Hollerbach 2.4% 2.0% 3.1% 2.5% 1.9% 3.0% 3.0% 3.0% 4.4% 4.9% 7.7% 5.7% 10.2% 15.7% 19.6% 10.9%
Charles Nunn 4.4% 4.0% 5.0% 4.5% 4.9% 4.5% 4.8% 6.2% 6.1% 7.1% 8.5% 8.3% 10.3% 8.7% 10.3% 2.4%
Dan Nickerson 8.5% 6.9% 9.1% 9.1% 6.8% 8.5% 6.3% 6.9% 6.5% 7.1% 7.7% 6.4% 4.3% 3.6% 2.0% 0.3%
OJ O'Connell 8.5% 9.2% 9.3% 8.2% 8.3% 7.9% 9.9% 8.2% 6.9% 5.7% 4.7% 5.9% 3.5% 2.8% 1.0% 0.0%
Peter Christensen 2.5% 2.0% 3.1% 2.1% 2.7% 4.0% 2.8% 5.4% 5.0% 5.1% 6.3% 9.2% 8.5% 12.6% 20.0% 8.7%
Walker Banks 3.0% 2.6% 2.8% 2.8% 3.8% 4.9% 5.5% 4.5% 5.4% 7.1% 6.6% 8.5% 9.7% 13.6% 13.1% 6.1%
Rory Mess 0.2% 0.9% 0.5% 0.8% 0.4% 0.8% 0.8% 1.2% 0.9% 1.8% 1.7% 2.2% 3.9% 6.6% 12.0% 65.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.