Race 2C

stu-nelson

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

38.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Annie Buelt 7.3% 8.1% 9.8% 8.3% 10.3% 11.4% 10.0% 9.0% 7.8% 6.9% 5.5% 4.0% 1.5%
Lily Flack 3.9% 5.2% 4.7% 6.5% 7.2% 7.4% 8.5% 8.1% 9.7% 10.5% 11.0% 9.8% 7.5%
Mia Nicolosi 33.0% 24.5% 18.2% 10.6% 6.8% 4.0% 1.7% 0.9% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Lauren Krim 2.7% 2.8% 3.4% 4.5% 5.1% 4.5% 6.9% 6.2% 9.0% 10.2% 9.9% 13.7% 21.3%
Julia Wyatt 6.9% 7.9% 8.9% 9.6% 10.1% 7.9% 10.2% 9.4% 8.2% 7.4% 7.0% 4.2% 2.3%
Annika Fedde 7.1% 6.8% 8.0% 8.0% 8.5% 9.2% 9.2% 10.3% 9.0% 8.4% 6.7% 5.8% 3.2%
Brielle Willoughby 16.1% 16.5% 16.2% 14.5% 12.6% 8.4% 6.7% 3.9% 2.9% 1.0% 0.8% 0.4% 0.0%
Lucija Ruzevic 5.5% 6.7% 7.1% 8.6% 8.8% 10.4% 9.7% 9.7% 8.6% 8.8% 6.9% 5.8% 3.5%
Aili Moffet 4.0% 5.5% 5.3% 6.6% 6.3% 8.5% 8.1% 8.2% 9.4% 8.6% 9.9% 11.4% 8.2%
Caylin Schnoor 3.8% 4.0% 5.1% 6.3% 7.8% 8.6% 7.2% 9.6% 9.2% 11.0% 10.1% 9.4% 7.9%
Mary McLauchlin 3.5% 4.0% 5.4% 6.3% 6.1% 7.2% 8.6% 8.6% 8.3% 9.0% 10.1% 11.0% 11.7%
Luciana Solorzano 2.5% 2.8% 2.8% 3.9% 3.4% 5.0% 5.5% 7.2% 7.5% 9.0% 11.6% 14.1% 24.8%
Sophia Montgomery 4.0% 5.1% 5.1% 6.2% 7.0% 7.6% 7.8% 8.8% 10.2% 9.1% 10.5% 10.4% 8.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.