Race 3C

stu-nelson

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

38.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Brielle Willoughby 16.7% 15.8% 15.3% 13.5% 12.7% 9.9% 6.5% 4.1% 3.2% 1.5% 0.6% 0.1% 0.1%
Mia Nicolosi 33.4% 25.1% 16.8% 10.7% 7.3% 3.6% 1.8% 0.9% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Julia Wyatt 6.2% 7.6% 8.1% 9.6% 10.4% 10.4% 10.2% 8.6% 8.5% 8.2% 5.7% 4.2% 2.2%
Aili Moffet 4.5% 4.9% 5.8% 5.3% 7.0% 7.8% 8.5% 10.0% 9.6% 9.3% 10.7% 9.6% 7.1%
Annie Buelt 6.8% 8.9% 10.3% 10.8% 9.2% 10.3% 10.7% 8.5% 7.8% 6.3% 5.3% 3.0% 1.9%
Lily Flack 4.7% 4.8% 5.5% 6.9% 5.9% 7.7% 7.6% 8.8% 9.6% 8.8% 9.0% 11.3% 9.5%
Luciana Solorzano 1.9% 3.0% 3.2% 4.0% 4.8% 4.2% 5.9% 5.8% 7.1% 9.8% 10.7% 13.7% 25.8%
Annika Fedde 5.9% 7.1% 8.6% 7.8% 10.0% 8.2% 8.8% 9.5% 8.9% 8.9% 7.5% 5.4% 3.3%
Lucija Ruzevic 6.0% 5.7% 7.9% 7.8% 9.3% 10.4% 9.8% 9.0% 9.4% 8.5% 7.3% 5.6% 3.4%
Mary McLauchlin 3.6% 4.1% 4.7% 5.9% 5.9% 6.8% 8.5% 8.6% 8.8% 10.8% 11.9% 10.4% 10.2%
Caylin Schnoor 3.8% 5.0% 4.5% 7.0% 6.6% 7.2% 8.2% 8.6% 9.8% 9.5% 10.2% 11.8% 7.8%
Lauren Krim 2.5% 3.3% 3.9% 4.0% 4.3% 5.7% 6.2% 7.6% 8.6% 8.7% 11.1% 14.1% 20.1%
Sophia Montgomery 4.2% 4.7% 5.4% 6.7% 6.8% 7.8% 7.3% 10.0% 8.3% 9.7% 9.9% 10.7% 8.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.