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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University2.70+2.87vs Predicted
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2Boston University2.55+2.27vs Predicted
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3Brown University2.56+1.25vs Predicted
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4Tufts University3.65-1.57vs Predicted
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5Tufts University2.31-0.31vs Predicted
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6Washington College1.81-0.49vs Predicted
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7Tufts University2.70-2.99vs Predicted
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8University of New Hampshire0.78-1.04vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.87Harvard University2.700.1%1st Place
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4.27Boston University2.550.1%1st Place
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4.25Brown University2.560.1%1st Place
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2.43Tufts University3.650.3%1st Place
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4.69Tufts University2.310.1%1st Place
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5.51Washington College1.810.1%1st Place
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4.01Tufts University2.700.1%1st Place
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6.96University of New Hampshire0.780.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luke O'Connor | 13.6% | 16.8% | 14.3% | 16.7% | 15.4% | 11.7% | 8.8% | 2.7% |
| Conor Fowler | 11.2% | 12.7% | 12.8% | 17.1% | 14.2% | 16.2% | 10.9% | 4.9% |
| Timothy Harding | 11.7% | 12.2% | 14.9% | 13.6% | 15.1% | 17.5% | 10.5% | 4.5% |
| Duncan Swain | 34.7% | 26.1% | 16.5% | 13.3% | 5.1% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Cameron Barclift | 8.7% | 9.1% | 13.0% | 13.0% | 15.5% | 17.1% | 17.4% | 6.2% |
| Eleanor Conroy | 5.5% | 5.9% | 8.3% | 9.5% | 13.8% | 15.0% | 24.0% | 18.0% |
| Charles Proctor | 13.1% | 14.3% | 17.0% | 13.2% | 16.4% | 11.6% | 10.9% | 3.5% |
| Emmet Todd | 1.5% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 8.1% | 16.4% | 59.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.