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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University2.70+2.90vs Predicted
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2Tufts University2.70+1.98vs Predicted
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3Washington College1.81+2.51vs Predicted
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4Brown University2.56+0.21vs Predicted
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5Boston University2.55-0.73vs Predicted
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6Tufts University3.65-3.55vs Predicted
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7Tufts University2.31-2.29vs Predicted
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8University of New Hampshire0.78-1.04vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.9Harvard University2.700.1%1st Place
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3.98Tufts University2.700.1%1st Place
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5.51Washington College1.810.1%1st Place
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4.21Brown University2.560.1%1st Place
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4.27Boston University2.550.1%1st Place
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2.45Tufts University3.650.3%1st Place
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4.71Tufts University2.310.1%1st Place
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6.96University of New Hampshire0.780.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luke O'Connor | 14.7% | 13.9% | 15.6% | 16.8% | 15.9% | 11.3% | 8.2% | 3.6% |
| Charles Proctor | 12.9% | 15.0% | 14.3% | 17.5% | 14.4% | 13.9% | 8.8% | 3.2% |
| Eleanor Conroy | 6.0% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 10.2% | 11.3% | 15.1% | 24.8% | 18.4% |
| Timothy Harding | 10.8% | 13.7% | 15.3% | 13.0% | 16.6% | 16.0% | 10.7% | 3.9% |
| Conor Fowler | 10.7% | 12.4% | 15.6% | 13.8% | 15.5% | 15.9% | 12.3% | 3.8% |
| Duncan Swain | 34.3% | 26.3% | 17.3% | 10.7% | 6.8% | 3.3% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Cameron Barclift | 9.1% | 10.3% | 10.8% | 13.8% | 14.9% | 16.9% | 15.6% | 8.6% |
| Emmet Todd | 1.5% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 7.6% | 18.5% | 58.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.