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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University2.56+3.11vs Predicted
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2Tufts University3.65+0.45vs Predicted
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3Boston University2.55+1.26vs Predicted
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4Harvard University2.700.00vs Predicted
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5Tufts University2.31-0.32vs Predicted
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6Washington College1.81-0.50vs Predicted
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7Tufts University2.70-2.96vs Predicted
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8University of New Hampshire0.78-1.04vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.11Brown University2.560.1%1st Place
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2.45Tufts University3.650.3%1st Place
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4.26Boston University2.550.1%1st Place
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4.0Harvard University2.700.1%1st Place
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4.68Tufts University2.310.1%1st Place
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5.5Washington College1.810.1%1st Place
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4.04Tufts University2.700.1%1st Place
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6.96University of New Hampshire0.780.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Timothy Harding | 11.8% | 14.5% | 14.3% | 16.7% | 14.3% | 13.3% | 11.3% | 3.8% |
| Duncan Swain | 34.7% | 25.1% | 17.6% | 11.5% | 6.7% | 3.3% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Conor Fowler | 11.8% | 12.2% | 14.4% | 13.8% | 16.4% | 15.4% | 11.2% | 4.8% |
| Luke O'Connor | 13.2% | 14.3% | 15.7% | 15.0% | 15.7% | 13.5% | 8.7% | 3.9% |
| Cameron Barclift | 8.4% | 9.5% | 12.9% | 14.5% | 14.6% | 16.0% | 17.7% | 6.4% |
| Eleanor Conroy | 5.8% | 5.8% | 8.1% | 9.6% | 13.6% | 16.3% | 22.6% | 18.2% |
| Charles Proctor | 12.7% | 15.4% | 14.0% | 16.3% | 14.1% | 13.3% | 10.8% | 3.4% |
| Emmet Todd | 1.6% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 4.6% | 8.9% | 16.8% | 59.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.