Race 7C

stu-nelson

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

30.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Brielle Willoughby 15.8% 17.8% 16.6% 13.2% 10.7% 8.9% 7.0% 4.7% 2.7% 1.7% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0%
Caylin Schnoor 3.4% 4.0% 6.0% 6.6% 7.2% 8.2% 7.7% 8.4% 9.5% 10.5% 10.4% 10.1% 8.0%
Mia Nicolosi 33.6% 25.1% 15.8% 12.1% 6.8% 3.2% 1.8% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Lily Flack 4.1% 4.7% 5.3% 7.1% 7.3% 7.9% 8.6% 8.8% 9.0% 9.3% 8.8% 9.9% 8.9%
Lauren Krim 3.0% 3.4% 3.8% 4.1% 4.8% 5.1% 5.8% 6.2% 7.6% 9.6% 12.0% 14.6% 19.9%
Annie Buelt 6.8% 7.7% 8.6% 10.8% 10.2% 10.5% 9.7% 9.7% 7.8% 7.4% 5.5% 3.9% 1.5%
Aili Moffet 4.7% 5.1% 6.2% 6.0% 8.5% 6.5% 7.2% 9.4% 8.6% 9.3% 9.8% 10.2% 8.5%
Annika Fedde 5.1% 7.0% 8.2% 8.4% 9.4% 10.0% 10.2% 9.3% 9.0% 7.5% 6.9% 5.6% 3.2%
Lucija Ruzevic 6.2% 6.6% 7.8% 8.3% 8.6% 8.8% 8.9% 9.4% 9.3% 8.8% 7.3% 6.0% 4.0%
Julia Wyatt 7.0% 6.8% 8.2% 7.6% 9.7% 10.7% 10.6% 9.1% 8.8% 7.6% 6.3% 4.9% 2.5%
Mary McLauchlin 3.4% 4.2% 5.1% 5.6% 6.2% 7.0% 7.8% 8.1% 9.7% 10.2% 11.8% 10.2% 10.8%
Luciana Solorzano 2.1% 2.5% 3.5% 4.2% 5.1% 4.5% 5.9% 7.0% 8.2% 8.2% 10.7% 13.5% 24.7%
Sophia Montgomery 4.9% 5.1% 5.0% 6.0% 5.5% 8.7% 8.8% 8.8% 9.3% 9.6% 9.5% 10.9% 7.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.