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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University2.70+2.90vs Predicted
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2Boston University2.55+2.25vs Predicted
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3Tufts University3.65-0.59vs Predicted
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4Harvard University2.70+0.02vs Predicted
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5Brown University2.56-0.77vs Predicted
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6Washington College1.81-0.46vs Predicted
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7Tufts University2.31-2.30vs Predicted
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8University of New Hampshire0.78-1.04vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.9Tufts University2.700.1%1st Place
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4.25Boston University2.550.1%1st Place
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2.41Tufts University3.650.4%1st Place
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4.02Harvard University2.700.1%1st Place
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4.23Brown University2.560.1%1st Place
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5.54Washington College1.810.1%1st Place
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4.7Tufts University2.310.1%1st Place
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6.96University of New Hampshire0.780.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charles Proctor | 13.8% | 14.5% | 16.9% | 15.6% | 15.4% | 12.3% | 9.0% | 2.5% |
| Conor Fowler | 11.0% | 13.2% | 13.3% | 16.6% | 15.4% | 14.3% | 11.1% | 5.1% |
| Duncan Swain | 36.6% | 24.6% | 16.7% | 11.5% | 6.7% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 0.3% |
| Luke O'Connor | 12.3% | 15.7% | 14.5% | 15.6% | 15.0% | 14.6% | 8.8% | 3.5% |
| Timothy Harding | 9.7% | 14.4% | 16.0% | 13.5% | 14.9% | 16.5% | 11.0% | 4.0% |
| Eleanor Conroy | 5.8% | 5.1% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 12.3% | 16.1% | 24.1% | 18.3% |
| Cameron Barclift | 9.4% | 9.3% | 11.5% | 13.9% | 15.7% | 16.0% | 16.4% | 7.8% |
| Emmet Todd | 1.4% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 8.2% | 18.0% | 58.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.