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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University3.07+6.24vs Predicted
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2Tufts University2.91+5.93vs Predicted
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3Salve Regina University2.05+8.05vs Predicted
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4University of Vermont3.33+2.65vs Predicted
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5Boston University3.63+0.50vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College3.62-1.37vs Predicted
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8Maine Maritime Academy2.81+0.39vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.79-4.14vs Predicted
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10University of Connecticut2.51-0.60vs Predicted
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11Bowdoin College2.89-2.83vs Predicted
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12Bates College2.26-1.67vs Predicted
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13Northeastern University2.70-4.26vs Predicted
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14University of Rhode Island3.07-6.62vs Predicted
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15University of New Hampshire1.65-2.77vs Predicted
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16Connecticut College2.25-5.45vs Predicted
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17Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.80-5.05vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.24Roger Williams University3.070.1%1st Place
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7.93Tufts University2.910.0%1st Place
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11.05Salve Regina University2.050.0%1st Place
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6.65University of Vermont3.330.1%1st Place
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5.5Boston University3.630.1%1st Place
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5.63Dartmouth College3.620.1%1st Place
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8.39Maine Maritime Academy2.810.1%1st Place
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4.86Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.790.2%1st Place
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9.4University of Connecticut2.510.0%1st Place
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8.17Bowdoin College2.890.1%1st Place
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10.33Bates College2.260.0%1st Place
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8.74Northeastern University2.700.1%1st Place
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7.38University of Rhode Island3.070.1%1st Place
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12.23University of New Hampshire1.650.0%1st Place
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10.55Connecticut College2.250.0%1st Place
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11.95Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.800.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| George Saunders | 6.3% | 7.4% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 1.4% |
| Andrew Meleny | 4.9% | 8.5% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 3.2% | 2.4% |
| Stephen Byrne | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 11.0% | 13.9% | 13.7% |
| Joseph Kelleher | 7.5% | 10.1% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 1.0% | 0.4% |
| Daniel Perkins | 12.2% | 11.3% | 10.1% | 12.2% | 10.3% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Bernie Roesler | 10.5% | 11.7% | 11.5% | 11.9% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Christopher Poole | 6.5% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 4.2% | 2.7% |
| Philip Crain | 16.7% | 14.0% | 11.5% | 9.9% | 9.3% | 9.5% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Sean Andrew | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 4.9% |
| Jeff Goodrich | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 2.0% |
| David Pierce | 3.6% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 10.4% | 10.9% | 10.6% | 9.9% |
| Ryan White | 5.9% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 3.5% |
| Weston Barlow | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 9.7% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 1.8% | 1.3% |
| Christopher Edwards | 1.8% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 15.9% | 26.8% |
| Stephen Sweriduk | 3.9% | 1.8% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 11.7% | 12.5% | 8.8% |
| Guttorm Straume | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 4.6% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 10.7% | 15.8% | 22.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.