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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University2.55+3.13vs Predicted
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2Tufts University2.31+2.76vs Predicted
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3Tufts University2.70+0.98vs Predicted
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4Tufts University3.65-1.53vs Predicted
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5Harvard University2.70-1.04vs Predicted
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6Brown University2.56-1.82vs Predicted
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7Washington College1.81-1.42vs Predicted
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8University of New Hampshire0.78-1.05vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.13Boston University2.550.1%1st Place
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4.76Tufts University2.310.1%1st Place
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3.98Tufts University2.700.1%1st Place
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2.47Tufts University3.650.3%1st Place
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3.96Harvard University2.700.1%1st Place
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4.18Brown University2.560.1%1st Place
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5.58Washington College1.810.1%1st Place
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6.95University of New Hampshire0.780.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Conor Fowler | 11.9% | 15.5% | 12.1% | 16.1% | 15.0% | 14.5% | 11.3% | 3.6% |
| Cameron Barclift | 9.2% | 8.9% | 10.7% | 13.6% | 17.5% | 15.3% | 15.6% | 9.2% |
| Charles Proctor | 14.2% | 13.1% | 15.8% | 16.1% | 14.0% | 14.7% | 9.3% | 2.8% |
| Duncan Swain | 34.0% | 25.3% | 18.1% | 11.4% | 6.9% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Luke O'Connor | 12.0% | 15.4% | 17.9% | 14.3% | 15.2% | 13.0% | 9.7% | 2.5% |
| Timothy Harding | 11.5% | 12.7% | 15.6% | 15.4% | 15.3% | 14.5% | 10.9% | 4.1% |
| Eleanor Conroy | 5.4% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 11.9% | 17.1% | 23.7% | 19.2% |
| Emmet Todd | 1.8% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 8.1% | 18.3% | 58.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.