Race 8C

stu-nelson

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

38.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Mia Nicolosi 34.1% 24.6% 16.7% 10.8% 6.6% 3.9% 1.8% 0.9% 0.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Annie Buelt 7.0% 8.5% 9.0% 10.5% 10.3% 10.2% 10.2% 8.9% 8.2% 6.2% 5.1% 4.0% 1.8%
Julia Wyatt 5.9% 6.9% 8.5% 8.4% 9.0% 10.8% 10.2% 9.8% 7.7% 8.8% 7.2% 4.5% 2.5%
Caylin Schnoor 4.0% 5.2% 5.2% 6.3% 7.0% 7.1% 9.8% 8.8% 10.5% 9.2% 10.0% 9.8% 7.1%
Brielle Willoughby 16.9% 16.2% 15.6% 14.5% 11.3% 9.7% 6.6% 3.8% 2.9% 1.3% 0.9% 0.2% 0.1%
Lauren Krim 2.3% 3.2% 3.9% 4.7% 4.9% 5.8% 5.9% 7.1% 7.2% 10.0% 10.4% 14.3% 20.3%
Mary McLauchlin 3.6% 4.4% 5.5% 6.2% 6.6% 5.8% 7.7% 8.6% 9.5% 10.1% 10.0% 11.2% 10.8%
Lucija Ruzevic 4.8% 6.9% 7.6% 7.9% 8.6% 10.2% 8.9% 10.4% 10.0% 7.3% 7.4% 6.6% 3.3%
Lily Flack 4.3% 4.7% 5.2% 6.2% 6.2% 7.1% 7.5% 9.1% 9.4% 10.8% 10.5% 10.5% 8.2%
Annika Fedde 6.0% 6.9% 8.0% 7.9% 10.0% 8.8% 10.2% 9.3% 9.3% 7.1% 7.5% 5.7% 3.3%
Aili Moffet 4.5% 4.3% 6.5% 6.5% 7.1% 8.5% 8.4% 8.5% 8.6% 9.7% 9.2% 8.8% 9.5%
Luciana Solorzano 2.9% 3.2% 3.2% 4.1% 4.0% 5.2% 5.6% 6.2% 7.9% 8.7% 10.6% 14.3% 24.0%
Sophia Montgomery 3.6% 5.0% 5.1% 5.9% 8.2% 7.1% 7.2% 8.6% 8.7% 10.5% 10.9% 10.2% 8.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.