Race 9C

stu-nelson

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

23.1%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Annie Buelt 6.4% 8.6% 9.2% 9.4% 9.8% 10.3% 10.8% 9.5% 7.4% 7.2% 6.3% 3.4% 1.6%
Lily Flack 4.1% 3.9% 5.1% 5.7% 7.1% 7.4% 8.5% 9.0% 9.3% 9.6% 10.6% 9.6% 10.2%
Julia Wyatt 7.2% 7.8% 8.8% 9.1% 8.1% 10.3% 8.2% 9.4% 8.6% 9.3% 6.0% 4.5% 2.7%
Annika Fedde 5.3% 7.0% 8.1% 8.0% 8.7% 10.2% 9.8% 9.7% 8.9% 8.6% 6.8% 5.8% 3.2%
Aili Moffet 4.5% 4.2% 6.1% 6.8% 7.2% 7.2% 7.8% 8.8% 9.8% 9.4% 9.6% 10.2% 8.3%
Mia Nicolosi 34.6% 22.8% 16.8% 10.7% 7.7% 3.9% 2.0% 0.9% 0.2% 0.3% 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Brielle Willoughby 15.2% 19.1% 13.4% 14.6% 12.2% 9.4% 6.2% 4.8% 2.5% 1.2% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1%
Luciana Solorzano 2.1% 3.6% 3.5% 4.0% 4.9% 5.1% 6.7% 6.8% 7.8% 8.0% 11.1% 14.4% 22.0%
Caylin Schnoor 3.9% 4.5% 5.5% 5.9% 6.5% 6.7% 9.4% 7.6% 9.6% 8.9% 10.9% 11.1% 9.4%
Lauren Krim 2.8% 2.8% 4.5% 4.9% 4.8% 5.9% 6.6% 6.1% 8.3% 9.0% 10.9% 13.6% 19.9%
Lucija Ruzevic 5.5% 5.9% 8.3% 8.4% 9.8% 9.3% 8.8% 10.3% 8.6% 8.8% 6.8% 5.7% 3.9%
Mary McLauchlin 4.3% 5.3% 5.2% 5.8% 5.5% 6.9% 7.5% 9.2% 9.7% 9.6% 10.6% 9.9% 10.4%
Sophia Montgomery 4.0% 4.5% 5.7% 6.8% 7.7% 7.4% 7.8% 8.0% 9.2% 10.0% 9.2% 11.5% 8.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.