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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University2.70+2.87vs Predicted
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2Boston University2.55+2.28vs Predicted
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3Tufts University3.65-0.57vs Predicted
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4Washington College1.81+1.54vs Predicted
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5Tufts University2.70-1.00vs Predicted
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6Tufts University2.31-1.34vs Predicted
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7Brown University2.56-2.74vs Predicted
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8University of New Hampshire0.78-1.04vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.87Harvard University2.700.1%1st Place
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4.28Boston University2.550.1%1st Place
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2.43Tufts University3.650.4%1st Place
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5.54Washington College1.810.1%1st Place
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4.0Tufts University2.700.1%1st Place
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4.66Tufts University2.310.1%1st Place
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4.26Brown University2.560.1%1st Place
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6.96University of New Hampshire0.780.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luke O'Connor | 14.0% | 15.5% | 16.2% | 15.9% | 15.4% | 11.5% | 8.7% | 2.8% |
| Conor Fowler | 10.8% | 13.5% | 13.1% | 14.9% | 15.8% | 15.6% | 11.3% | 5.0% |
| Duncan Swain | 35.9% | 24.2% | 17.4% | 11.9% | 6.3% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| Eleanor Conroy | 5.5% | 5.4% | 7.7% | 11.0% | 11.3% | 16.8% | 24.8% | 17.5% |
| Charles Proctor | 10.6% | 16.9% | 17.4% | 14.2% | 13.8% | 15.1% | 9.0% | 3.0% |
| Cameron Barclift | 9.9% | 9.2% | 10.9% | 14.5% | 16.9% | 16.0% | 14.6% | 8.0% |
| Timothy Harding | 11.9% | 12.4% | 14.8% | 13.9% | 14.8% | 15.3% | 12.2% | 4.7% |
| Emmet Todd | 1.4% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 18.0% | 58.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.