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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University2.56+3.12vs Predicted
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2Harvard University2.70+1.98vs Predicted
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3Tufts University2.70+0.99vs Predicted
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4Tufts University3.65-1.54vs Predicted
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5Boston University2.55-0.74vs Predicted
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6Tufts University2.31-1.33vs Predicted
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7Washington College1.81-1.41vs Predicted
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8University of New Hampshire0.78-1.06vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.12Brown University2.560.1%1st Place
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3.98Harvard University2.700.1%1st Place
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3.99Tufts University2.700.1%1st Place
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2.46Tufts University3.650.3%1st Place
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4.26Boston University2.550.1%1st Place
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4.67Tufts University2.310.1%1st Place
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5.59Washington College1.810.1%1st Place
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6.94University of New Hampshire0.780.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Timothy Harding | 11.9% | 15.8% | 12.4% | 15.3% | 16.1% | 13.8% | 10.9% | 3.8% |
| Luke O'Connor | 13.1% | 14.7% | 14.5% | 17.2% | 16.6% | 11.1% | 9.1% | 3.7% |
| Charles Proctor | 14.1% | 13.1% | 15.9% | 15.3% | 15.6% | 13.8% | 9.0% | 3.2% |
| Duncan Swain | 34.9% | 24.3% | 18.5% | 11.3% | 6.4% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| Conor Fowler | 10.3% | 12.4% | 15.9% | 14.8% | 15.1% | 15.6% | 12.3% | 3.6% |
| Cameron Barclift | 8.3% | 11.1% | 12.0% | 13.7% | 15.3% | 16.1% | 15.6% | 7.9% |
| Eleanor Conroy | 5.6% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 10.8% | 17.7% | 23.7% | 19.5% |
| Emmet Todd | 1.8% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 9.0% | 18.0% | 58.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.