Race 10C

stu-nelson

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

46.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Brielle Willoughby 15.3% 17.2% 17.0% 14.5% 10.9% 8.5% 7.0% 4.4% 2.7% 1.4% 0.9% 0.1% 0.1%
Mia Nicolosi 33.6% 23.4% 16.2% 10.7% 7.0% 5.3% 2.2% 1.1% 0.7% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Annie Buelt 6.7% 8.2% 9.3% 10.5% 9.8% 10.5% 10.1% 9.0% 6.8% 6.3% 6.5% 4.5% 1.8%
Julia Wyatt 6.6% 7.7% 8.0% 8.6% 10.4% 9.0% 9.6% 8.1% 9.0% 9.4% 6.5% 4.5% 2.8%
Lily Flack 3.8% 5.2% 5.2% 6.0% 7.1% 8.7% 8.8% 8.9% 9.6% 9.8% 9.6% 8.9% 8.2%
Mary McLauchlin 4.1% 4.0% 4.3% 5.7% 7.0% 7.6% 7.6% 8.8% 9.4% 9.3% 10.7% 12.2% 9.4%
Aili Moffet 4.0% 5.0% 6.3% 6.6% 6.6% 8.4% 8.4% 8.6% 8.8% 9.2% 10.6% 9.2% 8.4%
Annika Fedde 6.7% 6.7% 7.6% 9.8% 9.6% 8.2% 8.9% 10.3% 9.9% 8.4% 6.5% 5.2% 2.2%
Caylin Schnoor 4.4% 4.5% 6.1% 5.8% 6.5% 7.0% 8.1% 8.7% 9.4% 9.8% 10.4% 10.5% 8.6%
Luciana Solorzano 2.5% 3.4% 3.1% 3.8% 4.3% 4.7% 6.5% 6.5% 7.8% 8.1% 9.7% 15.7% 24.1%
Lauren Krim 3.5% 3.1% 3.6% 4.0% 4.7% 5.3% 5.4% 7.4% 7.5% 10.2% 10.8% 13.5% 20.9%
Lucija Ruzevic 5.7% 6.5% 7.3% 8.4% 9.8% 9.2% 8.9% 8.9% 9.0% 8.6% 7.4% 6.0% 4.3%
Sophia Montgomery 3.4% 5.3% 5.8% 5.8% 6.6% 7.5% 8.5% 9.3% 9.2% 9.2% 10.5% 9.7% 9.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.