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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University2.70+2.91vs Predicted
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2Tufts University3.65+0.46vs Predicted
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3Boston University2.55+1.27vs Predicted
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4Tufts University2.31+0.71vs Predicted
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5Brown University2.56-0.73vs Predicted
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6Harvard University2.70-2.05vs Predicted
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7University of New Hampshire0.78-0.01vs Predicted
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8Washington College1.81-2.56vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.91Tufts University2.700.1%1st Place
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2.46Tufts University3.650.4%1st Place
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4.27Boston University2.550.1%1st Place
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4.71Tufts University2.310.1%1st Place
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4.27Brown University2.560.1%1st Place
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3.95Harvard University2.700.1%1st Place
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6.99University of New Hampshire0.780.0%1st Place
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5.44Washington College1.810.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charles Proctor | 12.9% | 16.1% | 17.0% | 14.1% | 14.8% | 13.9% | 8.4% | 2.8% |
| Duncan Swain | 35.6% | 24.1% | 16.7% | 12.4% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Conor Fowler | 11.8% | 12.4% | 13.9% | 14.2% | 15.3% | 15.7% | 12.6% | 4.1% |
| Cameron Barclift | 8.9% | 9.4% | 12.1% | 13.2% | 16.3% | 15.4% | 17.2% | 7.5% |
| Timothy Harding | 10.6% | 13.0% | 14.3% | 16.8% | 13.2% | 15.3% | 12.3% | 4.5% |
| Luke O'Connor | 12.6% | 16.3% | 14.9% | 16.1% | 15.6% | 12.2% | 8.9% | 3.4% |
| Emmet Todd | 2.0% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 7.6% | 14.5% | 62.3% |
| Eleanor Conroy | 5.6% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 9.8% | 14.0% | 15.9% | 25.1% | 15.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.