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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University2.56+3.13vs Predicted
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2Tufts University3.65+0.44vs Predicted
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3Boston University2.55+1.24vs Predicted
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4Harvard University2.70+0.04vs Predicted
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5Washington College1.81+0.56vs Predicted
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6Tufts University2.70-2.07vs Predicted
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7Tufts University2.31-2.31vs Predicted
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8University of New Hampshire0.78-1.04vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.13Brown University2.560.1%1st Place
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2.44Tufts University3.650.4%1st Place
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4.24Boston University2.550.1%1st Place
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4.04Harvard University2.700.1%1st Place
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5.56Washington College1.810.0%1st Place
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3.93Tufts University2.700.1%1st Place
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4.69Tufts University2.310.1%1st Place
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6.96University of New Hampshire0.780.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Timothy Harding | 11.9% | 14.7% | 13.7% | 15.9% | 15.6% | 13.2% | 10.3% | 4.7% |
| Duncan Swain | 35.4% | 24.1% | 18.2% | 11.1% | 6.9% | 3.1% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Conor Fowler | 11.9% | 11.8% | 14.9% | 14.2% | 16.3% | 14.7% | 11.9% | 4.3% |
| Luke O'Connor | 12.3% | 14.6% | 16.4% | 14.4% | 14.8% | 15.2% | 8.2% | 4.1% |
| Eleanor Conroy | 4.9% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 9.5% | 13.0% | 15.7% | 26.5% | 16.7% |
| Charles Proctor | 13.0% | 15.5% | 14.5% | 18.2% | 14.3% | 12.9% | 8.8% | 2.8% |
| Cameron Barclift | 9.0% | 10.2% | 11.7% | 13.6% | 14.2% | 17.0% | 16.9% | 7.4% |
| Emmet Todd | 1.6% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 4.9% | 8.2% | 16.4% | 59.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.