Race 12C

stu-nelson

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

23.1%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Lily Flack 4.5% 4.3% 5.5% 7.0% 6.3% 7.7% 8.3% 8.1% 8.3% 9.8% 10.2% 11.5% 8.4%
Annie Buelt 6.0% 9.6% 8.9% 10.3% 11.6% 10.1% 9.5% 8.9% 6.2% 6.9% 6.0% 3.9% 2.1%
Annika Fedde 5.7% 7.1% 8.2% 8.6% 9.4% 9.4% 8.5% 9.6% 10.1% 7.3% 6.3% 6.0% 3.7%
Brielle Willoughby 15.6% 16.6% 15.4% 13.7% 12.0% 8.3% 6.5% 5.4% 3.0% 2.1% 1.1% 0.1% 0.1%
Luciana Solorzano 2.2% 2.6% 2.9% 3.5% 4.7% 5.5% 6.8% 7.2% 7.6% 8.5% 10.5% 13.8% 24.3%
Mia Nicolosi 35.8% 23.9% 15.4% 10.7% 6.2% 4.0% 1.9% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Caylin Schnoor 3.9% 3.9% 5.7% 6.6% 6.5% 8.2% 8.2% 8.6% 9.8% 9.4% 10.4% 10.4% 8.3%
Lucija Ruzevic 5.4% 6.7% 8.3% 8.8% 7.8% 9.2% 9.2% 9.6% 9.7% 7.9% 8.9% 5.5% 3.1%
Julia Wyatt 6.1% 7.6% 9.3% 9.8% 10.2% 10.2% 8.6% 8.3% 9.3% 8.5% 6.2% 3.5% 2.1%
Aili Moffet 4.3% 5.1% 6.1% 5.7% 6.2% 7.4% 8.2% 10.1% 10.1% 10.3% 8.9% 9.3% 8.2%
Mary McLauchlin 4.2% 4.7% 4.7% 5.0% 7.0% 8.0% 7.6% 8.5% 9.0% 9.7% 10.8% 10.3% 10.5%
Lauren Krim 2.9% 3.2% 4.0% 4.0% 5.1% 4.5% 6.5% 6.3% 6.8% 10.1% 10.4% 15.9% 20.3%
Sophia Montgomery 3.5% 4.5% 5.5% 6.3% 6.9% 7.3% 10.2% 8.4% 9.6% 9.4% 10.0% 9.8% 8.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.