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📊 Prediction Accuracy

55.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Ian Street 18.3% 19.6% 16.8% 16.4% 14.1% 8.8% 4.8% 1.2% 0.1%
Sara Boyd 4.6% 3.7% 5.4% 8.4% 10.5% 14.0% 19.8% 20.1% 13.5%
William Turner 30.2% 25.9% 20.4% 11.6% 7.3% 3.3% 1.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Samuel Marcom 8.6% 7.2% 10.3% 13.0% 15.4% 17.3% 13.8% 10.8% 3.5%
Ian Connolly 11.0% 15.0% 15.4% 17.5% 16.1% 13.0% 7.9% 3.2% 0.8%
Grace Beard 19.4% 19.1% 17.9% 16.6% 12.3% 8.6% 4.3% 1.6% 0.1%
Isabel Taranto 1.6% 2.1% 2.2% 3.5% 5.4% 8.1% 12.0% 18.1% 47.0%
Lauren Mellinger 3.5% 4.0% 5.9% 7.3% 10.8% 13.6% 18.9% 21.5% 14.5%
Ned Whitesell 2.9% 3.4% 5.6% 5.7% 8.0% 13.3% 17.4% 23.4% 20.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.