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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University3.65+1.40vs Predicted
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2Boston University2.55+2.27vs Predicted
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3Harvard University2.70+0.97vs Predicted
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4Tufts University2.31+0.70vs Predicted
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5Washington College1.81+0.55vs Predicted
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6Brown University2.56-1.82vs Predicted
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7Tufts University2.70-3.00vs Predicted
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8University of New Hampshire0.78-1.05vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.4Tufts University3.650.4%1st Place
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4.27Boston University2.550.1%1st Place
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3.97Harvard University2.700.1%1st Place
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4.7Tufts University2.310.1%1st Place
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5.55Washington College1.810.0%1st Place
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4.18Brown University2.560.1%1st Place
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4.0Tufts University2.700.1%1st Place
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6.95University of New Hampshire0.780.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Duncan Swain | 36.4% | 25.2% | 17.2% | 10.7% | 6.1% | 3.0% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Conor Fowler | 10.4% | 13.7% | 13.5% | 15.5% | 16.0% | 15.4% | 10.1% | 5.4% |
| Luke O'Connor | 13.2% | 14.5% | 15.7% | 15.7% | 15.0% | 14.3% | 8.8% | 2.8% |
| Cameron Barclift | 8.0% | 11.2% | 12.3% | 12.5% | 16.0% | 15.7% | 16.3% | 8.0% |
| Eleanor Conroy | 4.7% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 10.1% | 12.3% | 16.7% | 24.7% | 17.4% |
| Timothy Harding | 12.2% | 11.5% | 15.1% | 16.6% | 16.0% | 13.3% | 11.6% | 3.7% |
| Charles Proctor | 13.6% | 14.7% | 14.8% | 15.3% | 14.1% | 14.3% | 10.4% | 2.8% |
| Emmet Todd | 1.5% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 7.3% | 16.8% | 59.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.