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📊 Prediction Accuracy

66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
William Turner 31.4% 25.6% 19.8% 11.5% 7.2% 3.2% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1%
Sara Boyd 3.5% 4.7% 6.2% 7.6% 10.3% 15.2% 18.4% 20.9% 13.1%
Samuel Marcom 6.6% 7.1% 8.3% 13.0% 16.4% 18.1% 15.9% 10.2% 4.5%
Ian Connolly 11.8% 14.4% 15.7% 16.4% 16.7% 12.7% 7.1% 4.3% 0.8%
Grace Beard 19.9% 17.9% 18.9% 16.6% 12.1% 8.9% 4.2% 1.2% 0.2%
Ian Street 18.1% 19.8% 18.7% 16.4% 13.6% 8.0% 4.3% 0.9% 0.3%
Lauren Mellinger 4.5% 4.5% 5.7% 8.7% 9.7% 13.6% 19.1% 21.2% 13.0%
Ned Whitesell 2.2% 4.0% 5.0% 6.1% 8.9% 13.2% 18.5% 22.0% 20.1%
Isabel Taranto 1.9% 2.0% 1.8% 3.8% 5.1% 7.1% 11.4% 18.8% 48.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.