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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Washington College1.81+4.48vs Predicted
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2Tufts University3.65+0.47vs Predicted
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3Tufts University2.31+1.65vs Predicted
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4Harvard University2.70+0.01vs Predicted
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5Brown University2.56-0.81vs Predicted
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6Boston University2.55-1.82vs Predicted
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7Tufts University2.70-2.95vs Predicted
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8University of New Hampshire0.78-1.03vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.48Washington College1.810.1%1st Place
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2.47Tufts University3.650.3%1st Place
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4.65Tufts University2.310.1%1st Place
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4.01Harvard University2.700.1%1st Place
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4.19Brown University2.560.1%1st Place
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4.18Boston University2.550.1%1st Place
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4.05Tufts University2.700.1%1st Place
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6.97University of New Hampshire0.780.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eleanor Conroy | 5.2% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 12.2% | 12.4% | 15.3% | 24.2% | 17.0% |
| Duncan Swain | 34.4% | 25.7% | 16.2% | 11.4% | 7.8% | 3.3% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Cameron Barclift | 10.3% | 8.4% | 13.3% | 12.1% | 15.5% | 17.9% | 15.7% | 6.8% |
| Luke O'Connor | 13.2% | 13.8% | 15.4% | 15.3% | 17.1% | 12.6% | 8.8% | 3.8% |
| Timothy Harding | 10.9% | 13.0% | 16.8% | 14.4% | 14.7% | 14.5% | 11.9% | 3.8% |
| Conor Fowler | 11.5% | 13.6% | 14.6% | 16.0% | 14.5% | 14.0% | 11.4% | 4.4% |
| Charles Proctor | 12.6% | 16.4% | 13.4% | 15.7% | 13.3% | 14.0% | 11.1% | 3.5% |
| Emmet Todd | 1.9% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 4.7% | 8.4% | 15.9% | 60.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.