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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University2.55+3.17vs Predicted
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2Tufts University2.31+2.73vs Predicted
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3Harvard University2.70+0.97vs Predicted
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4Tufts University3.65-1.53vs Predicted
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5Washington College1.81+0.58vs Predicted
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6Brown University2.56-1.80vs Predicted
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7University of New Hampshire0.78-0.02vs Predicted
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8Tufts University2.70-4.11vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.17Boston University2.550.1%1st Place
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4.73Tufts University2.310.1%1st Place
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3.97Harvard University2.700.1%1st Place
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2.47Tufts University3.650.3%1st Place
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5.58Washington College1.810.0%1st Place
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4.2Brown University2.560.1%1st Place
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6.98University of New Hampshire0.780.0%1st Place
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3.89Tufts University2.700.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Conor Fowler | 11.0% | 15.3% | 12.1% | 16.2% | 16.2% | 14.4% | 11.2% | 3.6% |
| Cameron Barclift | 9.3% | 8.7% | 11.5% | 12.9% | 17.6% | 15.2% | 17.1% | 7.7% |
| Luke O'Connor | 14.3% | 12.8% | 16.5% | 15.5% | 15.1% | 13.3% | 9.9% | 2.6% |
| Duncan Swain | 32.9% | 27.3% | 16.9% | 11.7% | 7.0% | 3.0% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Eleanor Conroy | 4.0% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 11.5% | 18.2% | 26.3% | 16.3% |
| Timothy Harding | 11.8% | 12.1% | 15.0% | 15.6% | 15.0% | 15.2% | 11.7% | 3.6% |
| Emmet Todd | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 7.9% | 13.6% | 62.8% |
| Charles Proctor | 14.5% | 14.4% | 17.6% | 15.3% | 13.0% | 12.8% | 9.3% | 3.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.