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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University3.65+1.40vs Predicted
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2Tufts University2.70+1.97vs Predicted
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3Harvard University2.70+0.98vs Predicted
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4Tufts University2.31+0.72vs Predicted
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5Brown University2.56-0.73vs Predicted
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6Boston University2.55-1.78vs Predicted
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7University of New Hampshire0.78-0.03vs Predicted
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8Washington College1.81-2.53vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.4Tufts University3.650.4%1st Place
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3.97Tufts University2.700.1%1st Place
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3.98Harvard University2.700.1%1st Place
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4.72Tufts University2.310.1%1st Place
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4.27Brown University2.560.1%1st Place
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4.22Boston University2.550.1%1st Place
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6.97University of New Hampshire0.780.0%1st Place
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5.47Washington College1.810.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Duncan Swain | 36.1% | 26.6% | 16.4% | 9.5% | 7.1% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| Charles Proctor | 12.7% | 15.0% | 16.2% | 15.6% | 15.1% | 12.4% | 10.4% | 2.6% |
| Luke O'Connor | 13.2% | 14.6% | 15.1% | 16.2% | 15.0% | 13.9% | 8.9% | 3.1% |
| Cameron Barclift | 8.3% | 10.1% | 12.8% | 12.5% | 14.7% | 17.4% | 16.6% | 7.6% |
| Timothy Harding | 10.2% | 12.9% | 15.7% | 14.9% | 14.5% | 15.0% | 12.4% | 4.4% |
| Conor Fowler | 12.4% | 11.5% | 14.8% | 15.3% | 15.6% | 14.6% | 11.3% | 4.5% |
| Emmet Todd | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 7.7% | 14.8% | 61.8% |
| Eleanor Conroy | 4.6% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 12.1% | 13.4% | 16.4% | 24.1% | 15.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.