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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University2.31+3.62vs Predicted
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2Tufts University3.65+0.45vs Predicted
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3Tufts University2.70+1.02vs Predicted
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4Harvard University2.70+0.03vs Predicted
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5Boston University2.55-0.73vs Predicted
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6Washington College1.81-0.49vs Predicted
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7University of New Hampshire0.78-0.02vs Predicted
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8Brown University2.56-3.88vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.62Tufts University2.310.1%1st Place
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2.45Tufts University3.650.4%1st Place
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4.02Tufts University2.700.1%1st Place
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4.03Harvard University2.700.1%1st Place
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4.27Boston University2.550.1%1st Place
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5.51Washington College1.810.1%1st Place
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6.98University of New Hampshire0.780.0%1st Place
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4.12Brown University2.560.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cameron Barclift | 8.6% | 11.1% | 12.1% | 13.4% | 15.0% | 18.5% | 15.1% | 6.2% |
| Duncan Swain | 36.0% | 23.5% | 17.4% | 11.5% | 7.5% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Charles Proctor | 13.2% | 14.4% | 15.7% | 14.2% | 15.5% | 13.8% | 10.1% | 3.1% |
| Luke O'Connor | 12.6% | 15.3% | 13.6% | 15.7% | 16.2% | 14.0% | 9.3% | 3.3% |
| Conor Fowler | 9.8% | 14.0% | 15.8% | 13.7% | 14.9% | 14.2% | 13.6% | 4.0% |
| Eleanor Conroy | 5.9% | 5.2% | 7.8% | 10.3% | 12.7% | 17.0% | 24.0% | 17.1% |
| Emmet Todd | 1.9% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 16.6% | 61.2% |
| Timothy Harding | 12.0% | 13.8% | 14.6% | 17.7% | 13.5% | 13.2% | 10.2% | 5.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.