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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northeastern University2.70+7.65vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island3.07+5.33vs Predicted
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3Boston University3.63+2.45vs Predicted
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4University of Connecticut2.51+5.64vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.80+6.87vs Predicted
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6Maine Maritime Academy2.81+2.42vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont3.33-0.43vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University3.07-0.72vs Predicted
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9Tufts University2.91-1.04vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.79-4.94vs Predicted
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11Connecticut College2.25-0.66vs Predicted
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12Bowdoin College2.89-3.93vs Predicted
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13Salve Regina University2.05-1.97vs Predicted
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15Bates College2.26-4.72vs Predicted
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16Dartmouth College3.62-10.38vs Predicted
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17University of New Hampshire1.65-4.56vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.65Northeastern University2.700.0%1st Place
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7.33University of Rhode Island3.070.1%1st Place
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5.45Boston University3.630.1%1st Place
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9.64University of Connecticut2.510.0%1st Place
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11.87Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.800.0%1st Place
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8.42Maine Maritime Academy2.810.1%1st Place
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6.57University of Vermont3.330.1%1st Place
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7.28Roger Williams University3.070.1%1st Place
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7.96Tufts University2.910.1%1st Place
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5.06Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.790.1%1st Place
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10.34Connecticut College2.250.0%1st Place
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8.07Bowdoin College2.890.1%1st Place
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11.03Salve Regina University2.050.0%1st Place
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10.28Bates College2.260.0%1st Place
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5.62Dartmouth College3.620.1%1st Place
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12.44University of New Hampshire1.650.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan White | 4.1% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 2.8% |
| Weston Barlow | 6.2% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 2.4% | 1.2% |
| Daniel Perkins | 13.1% | 10.8% | 10.9% | 11.8% | 8.5% | 9.5% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Sean Andrew | 2.9% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 3.5% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 10.2% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 5.9% |
| Guttorm Straume | 2.1% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 11.4% | 15.4% | 21.8% |
| Christopher Poole | 5.5% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 2.6% |
| Joseph Kelleher | 10.1% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.5% |
| George Saunders | 7.7% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 2.0% | 0.7% |
| Andrew Meleny | 5.8% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 3.4% | 2.3% |
| Philip Crain | 13.5% | 12.2% | 12.6% | 11.7% | 10.9% | 10.7% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Stephen Sweriduk | 4.0% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 12.9% | 9.6% |
| Jeff Goodrich | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 2.4% |
| Stephen Byrne | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 9.4% | 11.5% | 11.0% | 14.9% |
| David Pierce | 3.7% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 9.8% | 10.0% | 10.5% | 8.9% |
| Bernie Roesler | 11.8% | 11.9% | 10.0% | 10.1% | 9.9% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Edwards | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 8.7% | 12.2% | 16.2% | 26.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.