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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University2.70+2.92vs Predicted
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2Washington College1.81+3.57vs Predicted
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3Tufts University3.65-0.57vs Predicted
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4Tufts University2.31+0.67vs Predicted
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5Tufts University2.70-0.96vs Predicted
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6University of New Hampshire0.78+0.94vs Predicted
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7Brown University2.56-2.69vs Predicted
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8Boston University2.55-3.87vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.92Harvard University2.700.1%1st Place
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5.57Washington College1.810.1%1st Place
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2.43Tufts University3.650.4%1st Place
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4.67Tufts University2.310.1%1st Place
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4.04Tufts University2.700.1%1st Place
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6.94University of New Hampshire0.780.0%1st Place
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4.31Brown University2.560.1%1st Place
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4.13Boston University2.550.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luke O'Connor | 12.6% | 16.4% | 15.9% | 16.0% | 15.2% | 11.9% | 9.0% | 3.0% |
| Eleanor Conroy | 5.2% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 8.9% | 11.3% | 16.8% | 27.5% | 16.4% |
| Duncan Swain | 35.4% | 25.3% | 17.1% | 11.4% | 6.5% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Cameron Barclift | 9.5% | 9.6% | 11.7% | 13.8% | 15.2% | 17.3% | 15.5% | 7.4% |
| Charles Proctor | 11.3% | 15.7% | 15.6% | 15.5% | 14.7% | 14.3% | 9.7% | 3.2% |
| Emmet Todd | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 8.9% | 15.2% | 59.6% |
| Timothy Harding | 11.7% | 12.5% | 13.4% | 13.7% | 17.2% | 12.7% | 12.9% | 5.9% |
| Conor Fowler | 12.3% | 11.3% | 16.8% | 16.6% | 14.5% | 15.3% | 8.8% | 4.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.