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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University2.70+2.88vs Predicted
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2Tufts University2.31+2.71vs Predicted
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3Brown University2.56+1.23vs Predicted
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4Washington College1.81+1.57vs Predicted
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5Tufts University2.70-0.98vs Predicted
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6Boston University2.55-1.78vs Predicted
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7University of New Hampshire0.78-0.03vs Predicted
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8Tufts University3.65-5.59vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.88Harvard University2.700.1%1st Place
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4.71Tufts University2.310.1%1st Place
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4.23Brown University2.560.1%1st Place
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5.57Washington College1.810.0%1st Place
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4.02Tufts University2.700.1%1st Place
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4.22Boston University2.550.1%1st Place
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6.97University of New Hampshire0.780.0%1st Place
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2.41Tufts University3.650.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luke O'Connor | 13.7% | 15.4% | 15.9% | 17.1% | 14.2% | 12.6% | 8.2% | 2.9% |
| Cameron Barclift | 9.3% | 9.2% | 10.5% | 13.6% | 17.3% | 16.8% | 16.5% | 6.8% |
| Timothy Harding | 11.4% | 12.3% | 15.1% | 15.6% | 13.6% | 16.9% | 11.4% | 3.7% |
| Eleanor Conroy | 4.8% | 5.3% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 11.7% | 16.4% | 25.8% | 17.3% |
| Charles Proctor | 10.2% | 17.2% | 16.1% | 14.8% | 16.3% | 11.5% | 11.3% | 2.6% |
| Conor Fowler | 12.0% | 12.6% | 14.1% | 16.0% | 15.0% | 14.2% | 10.9% | 5.2% |
| Emmet Todd | 2.2% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 5.1% | 7.9% | 15.1% | 61.2% |
| Duncan Swain | 36.4% | 25.7% | 16.2% | 10.1% | 6.8% | 3.7% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.