← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Fordham University1.57+10.19vs Predicted
-
2Dartmouth College2.90+4.51vs Predicted
-
3Harvard University2.31+5.01vs Predicted
-
4St. Mary's College of Maryland2.65+3.71vs Predicted
-
5Connecticut College2.29+3.65vs Predicted
-
6University of Rhode Island2.10+5.73vs Predicted
-
7Stanford University2.93-0.29vs Predicted
-
8U. S. Naval Academy3.01-1.67vs Predicted
-
9Boston University1.79-0.13vs Predicted
-
10Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.24+2.17vs Predicted
-
11University of Pennsylvania2.42-3.14vs Predicted
-
12SUNY Maritime College2.51-3.52vs Predicted
-
13Brown University2.85-5.89vs Predicted
-
14Roger Williams University2.42-4.00vs Predicted
-
15University of South Florida0.90-0.98vs Predicted
-
16University of Michigan1.57-3.45vs Predicted
-
17College of Charleston2.23-8.00vs Predicted
-
18Cornell University0.82-3.88vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
11.19Fordham University1.573.3%1st Place
-
6.51Dartmouth College2.9010.7%1st Place
-
8.01Harvard University2.316.4%1st Place
-
7.71St. Mary's College of Maryland2.657.8%1st Place
-
8.65Connecticut College2.296.0%1st Place
-
11.73University of Rhode Island2.102.5%1st Place
-
6.71Stanford University2.939.5%1st Place
-
6.33U. S. Naval Academy3.0110.6%1st Place
-
8.87Boston University1.795.8%1st Place
-
12.17Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.242.5%1st Place
-
7.86University of Pennsylvania2.426.3%1st Place
-
8.48SUNY Maritime College2.516.2%1st Place
-
7.11Brown University2.857.7%1st Place
-
10.0Roger Williams University2.424.2%1st Place
-
14.02University of South Florida0.901.4%1st Place
-
12.55University of Michigan1.572.7%1st Place
-
9.0College of Charleston2.234.5%1st Place
-
14.12Cornell University0.821.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Clayton Snyder | 3.3% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 10.0% | 9.3% | 5.3% |
| Robert Bragg | 10.7% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Henry Burnes | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.5% |
| Leo Boucher | 7.8% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.5% |
| Thomas Whittemore | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 0.9% |
| Aidan naughton | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 10.8% | 10.3% | 7.5% |
| Jack Parkin | 9.5% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| JC Hermus | 10.6% | 9.4% | 10.1% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Tyler Mowry | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 1.1% |
| Alex Abate | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 10.5% | 12.0% | 10.2% |
| Jordan Bruce | 6.3% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Benton Amthor | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 0.9% |
| Connor Nelson | 7.7% | 10.3% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Spencer Cartwright | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 2.7% |
| Andreas Keswater | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 11.7% | 15.3% | 27.3% |
| Jenna Probst | 2.7% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 9.2% | 11.1% | 13.6% | 13.1% |
| Brandon Geller | 4.5% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 1.2% |
| Seth Rizika | 1.9% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 8.2% | 10.4% | 16.8% | 28.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.