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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University2.42+9.21vs Predicted
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2SUNY Maritime College2.51+6.36vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College2.90+3.71vs Predicted
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4Connecticut College2.29+4.53vs Predicted
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5Harvard University2.31+2.82vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy3.01+0.35vs Predicted
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7University of Michigan1.57+5.45vs Predicted
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8College of Charleston2.23+0.98vs Predicted
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9Brown University2.85-1.65vs Predicted
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10Cornell University0.82+4.20vs Predicted
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11St. Mary's College of Maryland2.65-3.32vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.24-0.02vs Predicted
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13Fordham University1.57-1.73vs Predicted
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14University of Rhode Island2.10-2.07vs Predicted
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15Stanford University2.93-8.47vs Predicted
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16Boston University1.79-7.12vs Predicted
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17University of Pennsylvania2.42-9.19vs Predicted
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18University of South Florida0.90-4.02vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.21Roger Williams University2.423.2%1st Place
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8.36SUNY Maritime College2.515.5%1st Place
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6.71Dartmouth College2.909.2%1st Place
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8.53Connecticut College2.296.5%1st Place
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7.82Harvard University2.316.9%1st Place
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6.35U. S. Naval Academy3.0111.2%1st Place
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12.45University of Michigan1.572.3%1st Place
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8.98College of Charleston2.234.9%1st Place
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7.35Brown University2.857.4%1st Place
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14.2Cornell University0.821.3%1st Place
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7.68St. Mary's College of Maryland2.657.9%1st Place
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11.98Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.242.9%1st Place
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11.27Fordham University1.573.1%1st Place
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11.93University of Rhode Island2.102.8%1st Place
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6.53Stanford University2.9311.2%1st Place
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8.88Boston University1.795.5%1st Place
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7.81University of Pennsylvania2.426.8%1st Place
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13.98University of South Florida0.901.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spencer Cartwright | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 5.3% | 2.5% |
| Benton Amthor | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| Robert Bragg | 9.2% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 9.5% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Thomas Whittemore | 6.5% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 2.1% | 0.9% |
| Henry Burnes | 6.9% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| JC Hermus | 11.2% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Jenna Probst | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 10.8% | 12.8% | 13.4% |
| Brandon Geller | 4.9% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 1.2% |
| Connor Nelson | 7.4% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Seth Rizika | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 10.6% | 16.4% | 28.1% |
| Leo Boucher | 7.9% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| Alex Abate | 2.9% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 10.3% | 11.2% | 10.7% |
| Clayton Snyder | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 10.9% | 9.2% | 5.9% |
| Aidan naughton | 2.8% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 9.9% | 9.8% | 12.2% | 8.6% |
| Jack Parkin | 11.2% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Tyler Mowry | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 1.2% |
| Jordan Bruce | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 0.5% |
| Andreas Keswater | 1.4% | 0.9% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 6.5% | 8.7% | 9.8% | 16.6% | 25.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.