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📊 Prediction Accuracy
11.1%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston2.23+7.96vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island2.10+9.76vs Predicted
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3Stanford University2.93+3.69vs Predicted
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4Brown University2.85+3.27vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University2.42+4.95vs Predicted
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6SUNY Maritime College2.51+2.41vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.24+4.89vs Predicted
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8U. S. Naval Academy3.01-1.47vs Predicted
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9Dartmouth College2.90-2.60vs Predicted
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10Harvard University2.31-2.28vs Predicted
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11St. Mary's College of Maryland2.65-3.02vs Predicted
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12Boston University1.79-3.16vs Predicted
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13Connecticut College2.29-4.48vs Predicted
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14Cornell University0.82+0.06vs Predicted
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15University of Pennsylvania2.42-7.10vs Predicted
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16Fordham University1.57-4.59vs Predicted
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17University of Michigan1.57-4.50vs Predicted
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18University of South Florida0.90-3.79vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.96College of Charleston2.235.8%1st Place
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11.76University of Rhode Island2.102.7%1st Place
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6.69Stanford University2.939.8%1st Place
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7.27Brown University2.857.8%1st Place
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9.95Roger Williams University2.424.0%1st Place
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8.41SUNY Maritime College2.516.7%1st Place
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11.89Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.243.0%1st Place
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6.53U. S. Naval Academy3.019.8%1st Place
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6.4Dartmouth College2.9010.2%1st Place
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7.72Harvard University2.317.3%1st Place
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7.98St. Mary's College of Maryland2.656.3%1st Place
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8.84Boston University1.796.3%1st Place
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8.52Connecticut College2.295.2%1st Place
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14.06Cornell University0.821.8%1st Place
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7.9University of Pennsylvania2.426.1%1st Place
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11.41Fordham University1.573.5%1st Place
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12.5University of Michigan1.572.4%1st Place
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14.21University of South Florida0.901.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brandon Geller | 5.8% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 1.4% |
| Aidan naughton | 2.7% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 10.3% | 10.1% | 10.2% | 9.0% |
| Jack Parkin | 9.8% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% |
| Connor Nelson | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Spencer Cartwright | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 2.8% |
| Benton Amthor | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 2.5% | 0.2% |
| Alex Abate | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 11.2% | 10.9% | 8.6% |
| JC Hermus | 9.8% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 10.5% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Robert Bragg | 10.2% | 10.7% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Henry Burnes | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.7% |
| Leo Boucher | 6.3% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 1.1% | 0.5% |
| Tyler Mowry | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 1.2% |
| Thomas Whittemore | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 0.7% |
| Seth Rizika | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 10.9% | 15.2% | 27.9% |
| Jordan Bruce | 6.1% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| Clayton Snyder | 3.5% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 11.2% | 6.2% |
| Jenna Probst | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 9.4% | 10.9% | 13.8% | 12.0% |
| Andreas Keswater | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 11.3% | 16.1% | 27.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.