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📊 Prediction Accuracy
43.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College3.38+3.77vs Predicted
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2Brown University3.88+1.70vs Predicted
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3Drexel University1.64+6.69vs Predicted
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4Connecticut College3.55+0.54vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.60+1.99vs Predicted
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6Fordham University3.25-0.74vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont2.58+0.10vs Predicted
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8SUNY Maritime College2.63-1.25vs Predicted
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9U. S. Military Academy-0.32+5.10vs Predicted
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10Williams College-0.36+4.25vs Predicted
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11Yale University3.72-6.94vs Predicted
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12George Washington University1.77-2.72vs Predicted
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13Webb Institute1.13-1.94vs Predicted
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14Cornell University1.46-3.90vs Predicted
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15Rochester Institute of Technology0.63-2.65vs Predicted
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16Columbia University0.80-4.01vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.77Dartmouth College3.380.1%1st Place
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3.7Brown University3.880.2%1st Place
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9.69Drexel University1.640.0%1st Place
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4.54Connecticut College3.550.1%1st Place
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6.99U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.600.0%1st Place
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5.26Fordham University3.250.1%1st Place
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7.1University of Vermont2.580.1%1st Place
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6.75SUNY Maritime College2.630.1%1st Place
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14.1U. S. Military Academy-0.320.0%1st Place
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14.25Williams College-0.360.0%1st Place
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4.06Yale University3.720.2%1st Place
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9.28George Washington University1.770.0%1st Place
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11.06Webb Institute1.130.0%1st Place
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10.1Cornell University1.460.0%1st Place
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12.35Rochester Institute of Technology0.630.0%1st Place
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11.99Columbia University0.800.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robert Floyd | 12.9% | 12.3% | 13.3% | 12.5% | 12.7% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 3.4% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Pearson Potts | 20.5% | 17.2% | 16.8% | 13.2% | 10.0% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Chris Myers | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 10.8% | 11.5% | 12.6% | 13.8% | 10.2% | 7.3% | 2.3% | 1.3% |
| IG Schottlaender | 13.6% | 13.9% | 12.2% | 13.6% | 12.6% | 9.5% | 9.5% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Bradley Brown | 4.7% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 10.7% | 10.5% | 10.3% | 10.0% | 9.8% | 7.7% | 4.4% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Alecsander Tayler | 9.6% | 11.3% | 12.1% | 10.3% | 12.5% | 11.8% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Adam Ceely | 6.2% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 11.5% | 11.2% | 10.9% | 8.1% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Julia Paxton | 5.3% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 10.5% | 9.9% | 10.7% | 10.5% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Albert Biddle | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 4.6% | 7.9% | 12.3% | 24.7% | 38.0% |
| William Gomez | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 6.1% | 11.6% | 25.5% | 41.2% |
| Joseph Kiss | 18.5% | 15.4% | 14.4% | 12.6% | 10.6% | 9.5% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 3.1% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jay Spector | 1.8% | 4.0% | 2.3% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 9.6% | 8.7% | 11.0% | 10.8% | 13.3% | 9.7% | 5.3% | 3.2% | 0.3% |
| James Codega | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 11.1% | 13.9% | 14.6% | 12.8% | 9.8% | 2.7% |
| Collin Clark | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 12.3% | 12.7% | 13.7% | 11.7% | 9.2% | 4.1% | 1.3% |
| Ross Swerling | 0.8% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 5.7% | 8.5% | 10.3% | 16.0% | 19.3% | 17.3% | 8.4% |
| Isabelle Holt | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 9.0% | 12.4% | 15.7% | 19.2% | 12.6% | 6.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.