← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
11.1%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1U. S. Naval Academy3.01+5.40vs Predicted
-
2SUNY Maritime College2.51+6.43vs Predicted
-
3St. Mary's College of Maryland2.65+4.86vs Predicted
-
4Brown University2.85+3.50vs Predicted
-
5Dartmouth College2.90+1.50vs Predicted
-
6Boston University1.79+2.87vs Predicted
-
7University of Rhode Island2.10+4.79vs Predicted
-
8University of Pennsylvania2.42-0.08vs Predicted
-
9Fordham University1.57+2.43vs Predicted
-
10Harvard University2.31-2.16vs Predicted
-
11Cornell University0.82+3.16vs Predicted
-
12College of Charleston2.23-3.13vs Predicted
-
13Stanford University2.93-6.55vs Predicted
-
14Connecticut College2.29-5.54vs Predicted
-
15University of Michigan1.57-2.49vs Predicted
-
16Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.24-4.09vs Predicted
-
17Roger Williams University2.42-6.84vs Predicted
-
18University of South Florida0.90-4.04vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
6.4U. S. Naval Academy3.0111.5%1st Place
-
8.43SUNY Maritime College2.515.6%1st Place
-
7.86St. Mary's College of Maryland2.657.5%1st Place
-
7.5Brown University2.856.7%1st Place
-
6.5Dartmouth College2.908.8%1st Place
-
8.87Boston University1.795.5%1st Place
-
11.79University of Rhode Island2.102.6%1st Place
-
7.92University of Pennsylvania2.426.9%1st Place
-
11.43Fordham University1.572.6%1st Place
-
7.84Harvard University2.316.9%1st Place
-
14.16Cornell University0.821.7%1st Place
-
8.87College of Charleston2.235.5%1st Place
-
6.45Stanford University2.9310.5%1st Place
-
8.46Connecticut College2.296.2%1st Place
-
12.51University of Michigan1.572.7%1st Place
-
11.91Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.243.0%1st Place
-
10.16Roger Williams University2.424.0%1st Place
-
13.96University of South Florida0.901.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JC Hermus | 11.5% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Benton Amthor | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 1.0% |
| Leo Boucher | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.6% |
| Connor Nelson | 6.7% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Robert Bragg | 8.8% | 10.0% | 10.5% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Tyler Mowry | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 1.0% |
| Aidan naughton | 2.6% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 9.4% | 10.2% | 10.2% | 9.7% |
| Jordan Bruce | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| Clayton Snyder | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 10.2% | 5.9% |
| Henry Burnes | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.5% |
| Seth Rizika | 1.7% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 8.2% | 11.8% | 15.4% | 27.4% |
| Brandon Geller | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 1.3% |
| Jack Parkin | 10.5% | 9.3% | 10.8% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Thomas Whittemore | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 2.3% | 1.1% |
| Jenna Probst | 2.7% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 9.6% | 10.2% | 13.5% | 12.4% |
| Alex Abate | 3.0% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 10.6% | 11.6% | 10.0% |
| Spencer Cartwright | 4.0% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 4.5% | 3.4% |
| Andreas Keswater | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 10.2% | 17.5% | 24.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.