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📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Fordham University3.25+4.09vs Predicted
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2Brown University3.88+1.66vs Predicted
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3SUNY Maritime College2.63+3.88vs Predicted
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4Connecticut College3.55+0.52vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.60+1.97vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College3.38-1.10vs Predicted
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7Webb Institute1.13+4.06vs Predicted
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8Columbia University0.80+3.77vs Predicted
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9University of Vermont2.58-1.98vs Predicted
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10U. S. Military Academy-0.32+4.19vs Predicted
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11Yale University3.72-6.94vs Predicted
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12Drexel University1.64-2.33vs Predicted
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13Cornell University1.46-2.81vs Predicted
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14Williams College-0.36+0.26vs Predicted
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15George Washington University1.77-5.60vs Predicted
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16Rochester Institute of Technology0.63-3.63vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.09Fordham University3.250.1%1st Place
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3.66Brown University3.880.2%1st Place
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6.88SUNY Maritime College2.630.1%1st Place
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4.52Connecticut College3.550.1%1st Place
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6.97U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.600.0%1st Place
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4.9Dartmouth College3.380.1%1st Place
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11.06Webb Institute1.130.0%1st Place
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11.77Columbia University0.800.0%1st Place
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7.02University of Vermont2.580.1%1st Place
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14.19U. S. Military Academy-0.320.0%1st Place
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4.06Yale University3.720.2%1st Place
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9.67Drexel University1.640.0%1st Place
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10.19Cornell University1.460.0%1st Place
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14.26Williams College-0.360.0%1st Place
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9.4George Washington University1.770.0%1st Place
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12.37Rochester Institute of Technology0.630.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alecsander Tayler | 11.5% | 10.8% | 12.7% | 11.1% | 11.3% | 11.1% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Pearson Potts | 21.7% | 17.6% | 14.7% | 13.6% | 10.8% | 7.9% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 2.5% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Julia Paxton | 5.7% | 5.5% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 9.5% | 11.4% | 12.3% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| IG Schottlaender | 13.5% | 14.4% | 13.4% | 12.5% | 12.0% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 7.4% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Bradley Brown | 4.2% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 11.4% | 10.6% | 10.1% | 6.9% | 4.4% | 2.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Robert Floyd | 11.5% | 12.3% | 12.2% | 13.1% | 11.8% | 11.2% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| James Codega | 1.2% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 14.1% | 15.1% | 15.4% | 8.6% | 3.1% |
| Isabelle Holt | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 9.3% | 10.6% | 14.5% | 17.9% | 13.3% | 6.2% |
| Adam Ceely | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 10.4% | 10.5% | 10.7% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Albert Biddle | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 11.7% | 23.3% | 41.2% |
| Joseph Kiss | 18.3% | 15.3% | 14.6% | 13.4% | 10.5% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 5.1% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Chris Myers | 1.7% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 10.0% | 11.5% | 11.9% | 12.2% | 11.5% | 6.8% | 4.1% | 0.6% |
| Collin Clark | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 11.5% | 13.0% | 14.0% | 12.1% | 9.5% | 4.3% | 1.2% |
| William Gomez | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 7.4% | 10.7% | 26.5% | 39.1% |
| Jay Spector | 2.0% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 10.3% | 11.2% | 13.0% | 13.7% | 9.5% | 5.2% | 2.5% | 0.4% |
| Ross Swerling | 0.4% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 5.7% | 8.1% | 10.3% | 15.1% | 21.3% | 16.6% | 7.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.