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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1George Washington University1.77+8.19vs Predicted
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2Yale University3.72+2.06vs Predicted
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3Fordham University3.25+2.20vs Predicted
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4Connecticut College3.55+0.50vs Predicted
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5Williams College-0.36+9.23vs Predicted
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6Cornell University1.46+4.28vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College3.38-2.11vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.60-1.09vs Predicted
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9Webb Institute1.13+2.01vs Predicted
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10Columbia University0.80+1.95vs Predicted
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11Brown University3.88-7.32vs Predicted
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12Rochester Institute of Technology0.63+0.27vs Predicted
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13U. S. Military Academy-0.32+1.19vs Predicted
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14University of Vermont2.58-7.12vs Predicted
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15SUNY Maritime College2.63-8.04vs Predicted
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16Drexel University1.64-6.17vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.19George Washington University1.770.0%1st Place
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4.06Yale University3.720.2%1st Place
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5.2Fordham University3.250.1%1st Place
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4.5Connecticut College3.550.1%1st Place
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14.23Williams College-0.360.0%1st Place
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10.28Cornell University1.460.0%1st Place
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4.89Dartmouth College3.380.1%1st Place
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6.91U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.600.1%1st Place
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11.01Webb Institute1.130.0%1st Place
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11.95Columbia University0.800.0%1st Place
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3.68Brown University3.880.2%1st Place
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12.27Rochester Institute of Technology0.630.0%1st Place
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14.19U. S. Military Academy-0.320.0%1st Place
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6.88University of Vermont2.580.1%1st Place
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6.96SUNY Maritime College2.630.0%1st Place
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9.83Drexel University1.640.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jay Spector | 2.2% | 2.4% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 10.2% | 11.4% | 12.2% | 10.7% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 2.9% | 0.3% |
| Joseph Kiss | 18.4% | 16.4% | 13.9% | 13.1% | 9.2% | 9.9% | 8.0% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alecsander Tayler | 10.0% | 11.5% | 11.2% | 11.6% | 10.4% | 11.7% | 11.4% | 9.0% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| IG Schottlaender | 14.3% | 13.6% | 14.1% | 12.0% | 12.7% | 10.0% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| William Gomez | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 7.6% | 12.1% | 24.1% | 39.6% |
| Collin Clark | 1.5% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 5.4% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 12.5% | 13.2% | 13.1% | 9.1% | 5.7% | 1.4% |
| Robert Floyd | 12.1% | 12.1% | 12.1% | 12.0% | 11.7% | 11.4% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 5.6% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Bradley Brown | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 9.5% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 11.1% | 11.2% | 10.5% | 6.9% | 4.3% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| James Codega | 0.6% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 9.0% | 10.8% | 14.6% | 15.8% | 12.1% | 8.6% | 3.5% |
| Isabelle Holt | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 8.4% | 13.1% | 16.8% | 17.7% | 12.8% | 7.3% |
| Pearson Potts | 19.8% | 18.4% | 15.4% | 13.6% | 11.8% | 8.4% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ross Swerling | 0.5% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 10.7% | 14.0% | 18.6% | 16.7% | 9.4% |
| Albert Biddle | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 13.8% | 24.6% | 37.7% |
| Adam Ceely | 6.4% | 4.7% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 9.9% | 10.9% | 11.8% | 11.6% | 8.5% | 6.5% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Julia Paxton | 4.8% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 9.4% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 10.5% | 12.4% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 4.9% | 1.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Chris Myers | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 12.9% | 13.3% | 11.7% | 11.1% | 7.7% | 4.0% | 0.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.