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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University2.31+6.63vs Predicted
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2SUNY Maritime College2.51+6.56vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland2.65+4.63vs Predicted
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4Stanford University2.93+2.72vs Predicted
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5College of Charleston2.23+3.79vs Predicted
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6University of South Florida0.25+9.48vs Predicted
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7Brown University2.85+0.16vs Predicted
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8University of Pennsylvania2.42-0.18vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.24+2.99vs Predicted
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10Connecticut College2.29-1.71vs Predicted
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11Dartmouth College2.90-4.60vs Predicted
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12Boston University1.79-3.06vs Predicted
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13U. S. Naval Academy3.01-6.61vs Predicted
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14University of Rhode Island2.10-2.26vs Predicted
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15University of Michigan1.57-2.54vs Predicted
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16Fordham University1.57-4.97vs Predicted
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17Cornell University0.82-2.94vs Predicted
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18Roger Williams University2.42-8.08vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.63Harvard University2.317.6%1st Place
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8.56SUNY Maritime College2.516.8%1st Place
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7.63St. Mary's College of Maryland2.657.8%1st Place
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6.72Stanford University2.938.8%1st Place
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8.79College of Charleston2.235.8%1st Place
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15.48University of South Florida0.250.9%1st Place
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7.16Brown University2.857.8%1st Place
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7.82University of Pennsylvania2.426.9%1st Place
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11.99Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.241.7%1st Place
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8.29Connecticut College2.296.6%1st Place
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6.4Dartmouth College2.9010.2%1st Place
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8.94Boston University1.795.1%1st Place
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6.39U. S. Naval Academy3.0110.4%1st Place
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11.74University of Rhode Island2.102.3%1st Place
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12.46University of Michigan1.572.1%1st Place
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11.03Fordham University1.574.1%1st Place
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14.06Cornell University0.820.7%1st Place
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9.92Roger Williams University2.424.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Henry Burnes | 7.6% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Benton Amthor | 6.8% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 0.6% |
| Leo Boucher | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Jack Parkin | 8.8% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Brandon Geller | 5.8% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 2.5% | 0.5% |
| Chloe Sweeting | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 16.1% | 46.1% |
| Connor Nelson | 7.8% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Jordan Bruce | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Alex Abate | 1.7% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 9.9% | 11.6% | 10.5% | 7.8% |
| Thomas Whittemore | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
| Robert Bragg | 10.2% | 10.0% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Tyler Mowry | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 2.3% | 1.1% |
| JC Hermus | 10.4% | 10.2% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Aidan naughton | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 9.7% | 10.9% | 11.1% | 5.8% |
| Jenna Probst | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 13.1% | 14.6% | 9.4% |
| Clayton Snyder | 4.1% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 10.1% | 9.3% | 4.0% |
| Seth Rizika | 0.7% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 8.3% | 12.0% | 20.5% | 21.2% |
| Spencer Cartwright | 4.5% | 3.0% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 1.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.