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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.72+3.00vs Predicted
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2George Washington University1.77+7.25vs Predicted
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3Fordham University3.25+2.21vs Predicted
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4Drexel University1.64+5.78vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.60+1.95vs Predicted
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6Brown University3.88-2.23vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont2.58+0.08vs Predicted
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8SUNY Maritime College2.63-1.23vs Predicted
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9Webb Institute1.13+2.03vs Predicted
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10Connecticut College3.55-5.52vs Predicted
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11Dartmouth College3.38-6.18vs Predicted
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12U. S. Military Academy-0.32+2.17vs Predicted
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13Rochester Institute of Technology0.63-0.73vs Predicted
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14Columbia University0.80-2.21vs Predicted
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15Cornell University1.46-4.69vs Predicted
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16Williams College-0.36-1.69vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.0Yale University3.720.2%1st Place
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9.25George Washington University1.770.0%1st Place
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5.21Fordham University3.250.1%1st Place
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9.78Drexel University1.640.0%1st Place
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6.95U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.600.1%1st Place
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3.77Brown University3.880.2%1st Place
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7.08University of Vermont2.580.1%1st Place
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6.77SUNY Maritime College2.630.1%1st Place
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11.03Webb Institute1.130.0%1st Place
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4.48Connecticut College3.550.1%1st Place
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4.82Dartmouth College3.380.1%1st Place
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14.17U. S. Military Academy-0.320.0%1st Place
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12.27Rochester Institute of Technology0.630.0%1st Place
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11.79Columbia University0.800.0%1st Place
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10.31Cornell University1.460.0%1st Place
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14.31Williams College-0.360.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joseph Kiss | 18.0% | 17.2% | 14.2% | 13.3% | 10.9% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 3.3% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jay Spector | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 8.5% | 10.5% | 11.0% | 11.3% | 11.9% | 9.5% | 6.3% | 2.1% | 0.7% |
| Alecsander Tayler | 10.2% | 11.8% | 10.6% | 11.4% | 10.1% | 12.1% | 11.4% | 9.0% | 6.6% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Chris Myers | 1.6% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 10.9% | 13.8% | 10.9% | 12.2% | 8.4% | 4.0% | 0.6% |
| Bradley Brown | 5.1% | 5.2% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 8.7% | 9.8% | 11.0% | 11.9% | 9.5% | 11.0% | 6.8% | 3.9% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Pearson Potts | 19.2% | 18.8% | 14.2% | 13.7% | 12.0% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Adam Ceely | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 11.3% | 8.7% | 9.7% | 12.6% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 4.8% | 2.6% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Julia Paxton | 5.2% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 10.1% | 8.6% | 10.8% | 10.0% | 9.3% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| James Codega | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 8.6% | 10.5% | 14.4% | 14.0% | 12.5% | 10.9% | 2.6% |
| IG Schottlaender | 13.0% | 12.6% | 14.8% | 14.4% | 11.7% | 11.1% | 9.1% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Robert Floyd | 14.1% | 11.6% | 12.6% | 9.5% | 12.9% | 10.7% | 10.1% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 3.3% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Albert Biddle | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 7.2% | 12.8% | 23.7% | 38.8% |
| Ross Swerling | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 12.0% | 13.0% | 18.6% | 15.1% | 10.2% |
| Isabelle Holt | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 7.0% | 9.6% | 11.6% | 15.9% | 17.5% | 13.4% | 5.6% |
| Collin Clark | 2.2% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 9.6% | 10.3% | 11.9% | 13.3% | 13.9% | 8.9% | 5.9% | 1.2% |
| William Gomez | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 12.9% | 23.9% | 40.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.