← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Boston University1.79+7.90vs Predicted
-
2Stanford University2.93+4.41vs Predicted
-
3Connecticut College2.29+5.64vs Predicted
-
4Fordham University1.57+7.41vs Predicted
-
5Roger Williams University2.42+5.03vs Predicted
-
6Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.24+5.82vs Predicted
-
7Harvard University2.31+0.74vs Predicted
-
8University of Pennsylvania2.42-0.18vs Predicted
-
9SUNY Maritime College2.51-0.70vs Predicted
-
10University of Rhode Island2.10+1.68vs Predicted
-
11Dartmouth College2.90-4.60vs Predicted
-
12U. S. Naval Academy3.01-5.64vs Predicted
-
13St. Mary's College of Maryland2.65-5.36vs Predicted
-
14College of Charleston2.23-5.28vs Predicted
-
15University of Michigan1.57-2.41vs Predicted
-
16Brown University2.85-8.93vs Predicted
-
17Cornell University0.82-3.04vs Predicted
-
18University of South Florida0.25-2.47vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
8.9Boston University1.796.6%1st Place
-
6.41Stanford University2.9310.2%1st Place
-
8.64Connecticut College2.295.0%1st Place
-
11.41Fordham University1.572.6%1st Place
-
10.03Roger Williams University2.424.7%1st Place
-
11.82Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.242.6%1st Place
-
7.74Harvard University2.317.6%1st Place
-
7.82University of Pennsylvania2.426.0%1st Place
-
8.3SUNY Maritime College2.514.9%1st Place
-
11.68University of Rhode Island2.103.0%1st Place
-
6.4Dartmouth College2.9010.4%1st Place
-
6.36U. S. Naval Academy3.0110.8%1st Place
-
7.64St. Mary's College of Maryland2.657.3%1st Place
-
8.72College of Charleston2.235.5%1st Place
-
12.59University of Michigan1.572.2%1st Place
-
7.07Brown University2.858.6%1st Place
-
13.96Cornell University0.821.2%1st Place
-
15.53University of South Florida0.250.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Mowry | 6.6% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 2.4% | 0.9% |
| Jack Parkin | 10.2% | 9.9% | 10.7% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Thomas Whittemore | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 0.5% |
| Clayton Snyder | 2.6% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 10.2% | 8.9% | 4.4% |
| Spencer Cartwright | 4.7% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 2.1% |
| Alex Abate | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 11.6% | 10.8% | 6.6% |
| Henry Burnes | 7.6% | 6.3% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Jordan Bruce | 6.0% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| Benton Amthor | 4.9% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| Aidan naughton | 3.0% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 10.3% | 11.2% | 6.3% |
| Robert Bragg | 10.4% | 9.8% | 8.3% | 9.7% | 9.1% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| JC Hermus | 10.8% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Leo Boucher | 7.3% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Brandon Geller | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 2.4% | 0.9% |
| Jenna Probst | 2.2% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 12.6% | 15.3% | 9.6% |
| Connor Nelson | 8.6% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Seth Rizika | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 9.8% | 11.7% | 19.1% | 20.5% |
| Chloe Sweeting | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 8.8% | 15.8% | 46.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.