← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Brown University2.85+6.16vs Predicted
-
2Roger Williams University2.42+8.00vs Predicted
-
3SUNY Maritime College2.51+5.22vs Predicted
-
4Stanford University2.93+2.54vs Predicted
-
5Fordham University1.57+6.24vs Predicted
-
6University of Pennsylvania2.42+1.86vs Predicted
-
7College of Charleston2.23+2.01vs Predicted
-
8University of Rhode Island2.10+3.40vs Predicted
-
9Connecticut College2.29-0.55vs Predicted
-
10Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.24+2.23vs Predicted
-
11Cornell University0.82+3.02vs Predicted
-
12St. Mary's College of Maryland2.65-4.26vs Predicted
-
13U. S. Naval Academy3.01-6.61vs Predicted
-
14Harvard University2.31-6.37vs Predicted
-
15Dartmouth College2.90-8.51vs Predicted
-
16Boston University1.79-7.26vs Predicted
-
17University of South Florida0.25-1.40vs Predicted
-
18University of Michigan1.57-5.72vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
7.16Brown University2.857.8%1st Place
-
10.0Roger Williams University2.425.3%1st Place
-
8.22SUNY Maritime College2.516.1%1st Place
-
6.54Stanford University2.9310.2%1st Place
-
11.24Fordham University1.572.9%1st Place
-
7.86University of Pennsylvania2.427.4%1st Place
-
9.01College of Charleston2.235.5%1st Place
-
11.4University of Rhode Island2.102.8%1st Place
-
8.45Connecticut College2.296.3%1st Place
-
12.23Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.242.1%1st Place
-
14.02Cornell University0.821.5%1st Place
-
7.74St. Mary's College of Maryland2.656.3%1st Place
-
6.39U. S. Naval Academy3.019.6%1st Place
-
7.63Harvard University2.317.9%1st Place
-
6.49Dartmouth College2.9010.2%1st Place
-
8.74Boston University1.795.5%1st Place
-
15.6University of South Florida0.250.4%1st Place
-
12.28University of Michigan1.571.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connor Nelson | 7.8% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Spencer Cartwright | 5.3% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 2.0% |
| Benton Amthor | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 0.5% |
| Jack Parkin | 10.2% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Clayton Snyder | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 4.5% |
| Jordan Bruce | 7.4% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Brandon Geller | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 0.5% |
| Aidan naughton | 2.8% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 12.3% | 9.4% | 5.3% |
| Thomas Whittemore | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 0.9% |
| Alex Abate | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 11.0% | 11.8% | 12.2% | 7.6% |
| Seth Rizika | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 9.4% | 11.8% | 20.0% | 21.8% |
| Leo Boucher | 6.3% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| JC Hermus | 9.6% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 10.4% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.2% |
| Henry Burnes | 7.9% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Robert Bragg | 10.2% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Tyler Mowry | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 1.8% | 0.9% |
| Chloe Sweeting | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 9.5% | 16.3% | 45.9% |
| Jenna Probst | 1.9% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 9.7% | 10.8% | 13.7% | 8.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.