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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University3.88+2.61vs Predicted
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2Connecticut College3.55+2.41vs Predicted
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3SUNY Maritime College2.63+3.89vs Predicted
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4Fordham University3.25+1.33vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College3.38-0.13vs Predicted
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6Yale University3.72-1.89vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.60-0.04vs Predicted
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8Cornell University1.46+2.12vs Predicted
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9Drexel University1.64+0.62vs Predicted
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10George Washington University1.77-0.65vs Predicted
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11University of Vermont2.58-4.00vs Predicted
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12Columbia University0.80-0.09vs Predicted
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13Rochester Institute of Technology0.63-0.72vs Predicted
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14Webb Institute1.13-2.97vs Predicted
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15Williams College-0.36-0.71vs Predicted
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16U. S. Military Academy-0.32-1.77vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.61Brown University3.880.2%1st Place
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4.41Connecticut College3.550.2%1st Place
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6.89SUNY Maritime College2.630.1%1st Place
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5.33Fordham University3.250.1%1st Place
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4.87Dartmouth College3.380.1%1st Place
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4.11Yale University3.720.1%1st Place
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6.96U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.600.1%1st Place
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10.12Cornell University1.460.0%1st Place
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9.62Drexel University1.640.0%1st Place
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9.35George Washington University1.770.0%1st Place
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7.0University of Vermont2.580.1%1st Place
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11.91Columbia University0.800.0%1st Place
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12.28Rochester Institute of Technology0.630.0%1st Place
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11.03Webb Institute1.130.0%1st Place
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14.29Williams College-0.360.0%1st Place
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14.23U. S. Military Academy-0.320.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pearson Potts | 21.0% | 17.3% | 17.1% | 13.2% | 11.6% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| IG Schottlaender | 16.6% | 13.5% | 13.8% | 12.0% | 11.4% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Julia Paxton | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 9.7% | 13.2% | 11.1% | 9.3% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Alecsander Tayler | 8.9% | 11.0% | 9.7% | 12.1% | 11.8% | 13.2% | 9.6% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Robert Floyd | 11.2% | 11.9% | 13.4% | 11.2% | 13.4% | 11.5% | 9.4% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Kiss | 14.9% | 17.0% | 15.3% | 12.9% | 12.3% | 10.5% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Bradley Brown | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 9.4% | 11.1% | 10.3% | 9.8% | 10.3% | 8.0% | 4.3% | 2.4% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Collin Clark | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 10.6% | 11.0% | 14.3% | 13.7% | 8.7% | 5.0% | 0.6% |
| Chris Myers | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 9.8% | 11.6% | 13.1% | 13.1% | 9.0% | 7.2% | 3.6% | 0.8% |
| Jay Spector | 2.9% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 12.8% | 14.5% | 12.3% | 9.4% | 5.7% | 1.9% | 0.6% |
| Adam Ceely | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 9.7% | 10.2% | 12.1% | 9.9% | 9.6% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Isabelle Holt | 0.6% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 3.7% | 1.9% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 7.1% | 10.7% | 9.4% | 14.4% | 17.3% | 15.7% | 6.6% |
| Ross Swerling | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 12.0% | 14.8% | 18.1% | 16.3% | 8.6% |
| James Codega | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 10.6% | 14.6% | 15.8% | 14.0% | 7.8% | 2.7% |
| William Gomez | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 4.5% | 7.3% | 11.5% | 25.0% | 41.6% |
| Albert Biddle | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 7.9% | 14.2% | 23.9% | 38.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.