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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University2.93+5.59vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University2.42+7.86vs Predicted
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3University of Pennsylvania2.42+4.70vs Predicted
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4Harvard University2.31+3.73vs Predicted
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5Connecticut College2.29+3.43vs Predicted
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6Boston University1.79+2.81vs Predicted
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7Brown University2.85+0.11vs Predicted
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8College of Charleston2.23+0.97vs Predicted
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9St. Mary's College of Maryland2.65-1.55vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island2.10+1.85vs Predicted
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11Dartmouth College2.90-4.38vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.24-0.10vs Predicted
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13SUNY Maritime College2.51-4.76vs Predicted
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14University of Michigan1.57-1.64vs Predicted
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15U. S. Naval Academy3.01-8.47vs Predicted
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16Fordham University1.57-4.77vs Predicted
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17Cornell University0.82-2.98vs Predicted
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18University of South Florida0.25-2.39vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.59Stanford University2.9310.1%1st Place
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9.86Roger Williams University2.424.3%1st Place
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7.7University of Pennsylvania2.427.0%1st Place
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7.73Harvard University2.317.6%1st Place
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8.43Connecticut College2.296.0%1st Place
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8.81Boston University1.795.8%1st Place
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7.11Brown University2.858.8%1st Place
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8.97College of Charleston2.235.3%1st Place
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7.45St. Mary's College of Maryland2.657.1%1st Place
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11.85University of Rhode Island2.103.1%1st Place
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6.62Dartmouth College2.908.9%1st Place
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11.9Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.242.1%1st Place
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8.24SUNY Maritime College2.517.0%1st Place
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12.36University of Michigan1.572.1%1st Place
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6.53U. S. Naval Academy3.0110.2%1st Place
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11.23Fordham University1.573.2%1st Place
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14.02Cornell University0.820.8%1st Place
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15.61University of South Florida0.250.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Parkin | 10.1% | 7.6% | 9.6% | 9.7% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Spencer Cartwright | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 5.0% | 1.5% |
| Jordan Bruce | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Henry Burnes | 7.6% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Thomas Whittemore | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 1.6% | 0.5% |
| Tyler Mowry | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 2.1% | 0.5% |
| Connor Nelson | 8.8% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Brandon Geller | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 1.9% | 0.5% |
| Leo Boucher | 7.1% | 9.2% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Aidan naughton | 3.1% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 12.4% | 12.2% | 6.1% |
| Robert Bragg | 8.9% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Alex Abate | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 10.0% | 10.9% | 10.8% | 6.6% |
| Benton Amthor | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 0.6% |
| Jenna Probst | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 9.6% | 12.7% | 13.0% | 9.0% |
| JC Hermus | 10.2% | 9.7% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Clayton Snyder | 3.2% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 5.2% |
| Seth Rizika | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 12.2% | 20.9% | 20.2% |
| Chloe Sweeting | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 8.1% | 15.8% | 48.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.