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📊 Prediction Accuracy
56.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University3.05+3.26vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College3.39+1.55vs Predicted
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3Cornell University1.24+6.63vs Predicted
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4SUNY Maritime College2.45+2.12vs Predicted
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5Yale University2.45+0.99vs Predicted
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6Connecticut College2.59-0.37vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.83+0.88vs Predicted
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8University of Vermont2.90-3.40vs Predicted
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9George Washington University1.63-0.57vs Predicted
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10Rochester Institute of Technology0.46+1.96vs Predicted
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11U. S. Military Academy1.14-1.06vs Predicted
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12Columbia University0.11+0.81vs Predicted
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13Fordham University1.87-5.36vs Predicted
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14Williams College-0.03-0.97vs Predicted
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15Webb Institute0.84-4.02vs Predicted
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16Drexel University-0.19-2.44vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.26Brown University3.050.2%1st Place
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3.55Dartmouth College3.390.2%1st Place
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9.63Cornell University1.240.0%1st Place
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6.12SUNY Maritime College2.450.1%1st Place
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5.99Yale University2.450.1%1st Place
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5.63Connecticut College2.590.1%1st Place
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7.88U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.830.0%1st Place
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4.6University of Vermont2.900.2%1st Place
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8.43George Washington University1.630.0%1st Place
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11.96Rochester Institute of Technology0.460.0%1st Place
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9.94U. S. Military Academy1.140.0%1st Place
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12.81Columbia University0.110.0%1st Place
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7.64Fordham University1.870.0%1st Place
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13.03Williams College-0.030.0%1st Place
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10.98Webb Institute0.840.0%1st Place
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13.56Drexel University-0.190.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Drew Shea | 16.9% | 14.4% | 13.8% | 14.3% | 11.0% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hunter Johnstone | 23.6% | 17.4% | 16.6% | 12.4% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alex Gatto | 2.9% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 9.8% | 11.8% | 12.1% | 10.2% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 1.0% |
| Ben Wilkinson | 6.6% | 11.0% | 7.1% | 9.7% | 10.4% | 10.2% | 10.5% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 3.4% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Eric Anderson | 8.2% | 8.4% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 10.3% | 11.4% | 9.7% | 10.6% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Ellis Tonissi | 8.1% | 8.6% | 13.9% | 10.1% | 11.0% | 11.2% | 9.5% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Britton | 4.9% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 9.7% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 10.1% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| William Crary | 15.4% | 12.4% | 12.3% | 12.4% | 12.5% | 10.7% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Benjaim Helfand | 3.6% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 12.2% | 9.9% | 9.8% | 8.7% | 6.5% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 0.9% |
| Skylar Munger | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 10.9% | 11.4% | 17.7% | 15.0% | 11.4% |
| Matthew Schmitt | 2.2% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 8.4% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 13.2% | 10.8% | 9.2% | 6.2% | 2.6% |
| Elizabeth Siegal | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 10.3% | 14.0% | 19.3% | 21.6% |
| Anders Ekholm | 3.8% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 9.3% | 11.5% | 9.8% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Jorge Castro | 0.3% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 12.0% | 13.7% | 19.2% | 24.4% |
| Parker Lyman | 1.8% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 10.7% | 14.8% | 12.5% | 9.6% | 5.8% |
| Barrett Adams | 0.1% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 6.6% | 9.4% | 14.2% | 20.1% | 31.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.