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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University2.42+8.85vs Predicted
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2Connecticut College2.29+6.62vs Predicted
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3Brown University2.85+4.26vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston2.23+5.00vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy3.01+1.20vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College2.90+0.25vs Predicted
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7SUNY Maritime College2.51+1.06vs Predicted
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8Stanford University2.93-1.54vs Predicted
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9University of Michigan1.57+3.62vs Predicted
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10Fordham University1.57+1.19vs Predicted
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11Harvard University2.31-3.17vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.24-0.05vs Predicted
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13Boston University1.79-4.14vs Predicted
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14University of Pennsylvania2.42-6.19vs Predicted
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15University of Rhode Island2.10-3.20vs Predicted
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16University of South Florida0.25-0.34vs Predicted
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17St. Mary's College of Maryland2.65-9.41vs Predicted
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18Cornell University0.82-4.03vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.85Roger Williams University2.424.4%1st Place
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8.62Connecticut College2.295.0%1st Place
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7.26Brown University2.858.6%1st Place
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9.0College of Charleston2.234.6%1st Place
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6.2U. S. Naval Academy3.0110.8%1st Place
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6.25Dartmouth College2.9011.3%1st Place
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8.06SUNY Maritime College2.516.2%1st Place
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6.46Stanford University2.9310.9%1st Place
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12.62University of Michigan1.571.6%1st Place
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11.19Fordham University1.572.9%1st Place
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7.83Harvard University2.316.3%1st Place
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11.95Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.242.5%1st Place
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8.86Boston University1.795.5%1st Place
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7.81University of Pennsylvania2.427.3%1st Place
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11.8University of Rhode Island2.103.5%1st Place
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15.66University of South Florida0.250.7%1st Place
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7.59St. Mary's College of Maryland2.656.6%1st Place
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13.97Cornell University0.821.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spencer Cartwright | 4.4% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 4.3% | 1.8% |
| Thomas Whittemore | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 0.7% |
| Connor Nelson | 8.6% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Brandon Geller | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 0.8% |
| JC Hermus | 10.8% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 9.9% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Robert Bragg | 11.3% | 9.4% | 10.2% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Benton Amthor | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Jack Parkin | 10.9% | 10.1% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Jenna Probst | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 11.4% | 12.8% | 13.6% | 9.4% |
| Clayton Snyder | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 4.0% |
| Henry Burnes | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Alex Abate | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 9.4% | 9.6% | 11.8% | 11.1% | 6.7% |
| Tyler Mowry | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 0.5% |
| Jordan Bruce | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Aidan naughton | 3.5% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 11.3% | 11.3% | 6.5% |
| Chloe Sweeting | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 8.4% | 13.9% | 49.8% |
| Leo Boucher | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Seth Rizika | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 12.0% | 21.9% | 18.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.