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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University3.05+3.28vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College3.39+1.57vs Predicted
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3Yale University2.45+2.99vs Predicted
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4George Washington University1.63+4.60vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.83+2.87vs Predicted
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6University of Vermont2.90-1.20vs Predicted
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7SUNY Maritime College2.45-0.94vs Predicted
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8Connecticut College2.59-2.55vs Predicted
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9Fordham University1.87-1.35vs Predicted
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10Cornell University1.24-0.31vs Predicted
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11U. S. Military Academy1.14-1.10vs Predicted
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12Webb Institute0.84-1.15vs Predicted
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13Rochester Institute of Technology0.46-1.15vs Predicted
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14Columbia University0.11-1.29vs Predicted
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15Drexel University-0.19-1.47vs Predicted
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16Williams College-0.03-2.78vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.28Brown University3.050.2%1st Place
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3.57Dartmouth College3.390.2%1st Place
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5.99Yale University2.450.1%1st Place
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8.6George Washington University1.630.0%1st Place
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7.87U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.830.0%1st Place
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4.8University of Vermont2.900.1%1st Place
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6.06SUNY Maritime College2.450.1%1st Place
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5.45Connecticut College2.590.1%1st Place
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7.65Fordham University1.870.0%1st Place
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9.69Cornell University1.240.0%1st Place
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9.9U. S. Military Academy1.140.0%1st Place
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10.85Webb Institute0.840.0%1st Place
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11.85Rochester Institute of Technology0.460.0%1st Place
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12.71Columbia University0.110.0%1st Place
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13.53Drexel University-0.190.0%1st Place
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13.22Williams College-0.030.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Drew Shea | 17.3% | 14.4% | 13.5% | 14.6% | 10.4% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hunter Johnstone | 23.5% | 17.1% | 16.4% | 12.5% | 9.3% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Eric Anderson | 8.3% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 11.9% | 10.9% | 10.0% | 9.8% | 8.4% | 6.4% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Benjaim Helfand | 3.0% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 10.1% | 9.7% | 9.1% | 11.0% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 2.2% | 0.6% |
| Andrew Britton | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 10.3% | 8.9% | 10.4% | 8.2% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| William Crary | 12.4% | 12.2% | 14.5% | 11.3% | 12.9% | 10.9% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ben Wilkinson | 8.9% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 10.3% | 10.1% | 8.6% | 11.2% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Ellis Tonissi | 9.3% | 11.1% | 10.8% | 12.4% | 10.1% | 9.7% | 10.5% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Anders Ekholm | 4.3% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 10.3% | 10.3% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Alex Gatto | 2.7% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 11.1% | 13.1% | 10.8% | 9.1% | 4.5% | 1.1% |
| Matthew Schmitt | 2.8% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 9.9% | 11.3% | 11.7% | 11.8% | 8.9% | 6.0% | 2.4% |
| Parker Lyman | 1.1% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 12.4% | 12.3% | 11.8% | 9.8% | 6.2% |
| Skylar Munger | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 6.4% | 8.8% | 9.9% | 13.0% | 14.4% | 15.1% | 10.9% |
| Elizabeth Siegal | 0.5% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 11.3% | 16.5% | 16.3% | 20.8% |
| Barrett Adams | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 9.2% | 12.3% | 21.7% | 32.4% |
| Jorge Castro | 0.2% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 10.4% | 14.7% | 21.4% | 24.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.