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📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University3.07+6.25vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College3.62+3.52vs Predicted
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3Boston University3.63+2.51vs Predicted
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4Maine Maritime Academy2.81+4.51vs Predicted
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6Bowdoin College2.89+2.13vs Predicted
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7Tufts University2.91+1.08vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.79-2.95vs Predicted
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9Bates College2.26+1.25vs Predicted
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10Northeastern University2.70-1.34vs Predicted
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11University of Connecticut2.51-1.46vs Predicted
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12Salve Regina University2.05-1.02vs Predicted
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13University of Vermont3.33-6.50vs Predicted
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14University of New Hampshire1.65-1.73vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.80-3.22vs Predicted
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16Connecticut College2.25-5.48vs Predicted
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17University of Rhode Island3.07-9.55vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.25Roger Williams University3.070.1%1st Place
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5.52Dartmouth College3.620.1%1st Place
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5.51Boston University3.630.1%1st Place
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8.51Maine Maritime Academy2.810.0%1st Place
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8.13Bowdoin College2.890.1%1st Place
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8.08Tufts University2.910.1%1st Place
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5.05Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.790.2%1st Place
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10.25Bates College2.260.0%1st Place
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8.66Northeastern University2.700.1%1st Place
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9.54University of Connecticut2.510.0%1st Place
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10.98Salve Regina University2.050.0%1st Place
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6.5University of Vermont3.330.1%1st Place
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12.27University of New Hampshire1.650.0%1st Place
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11.78Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.800.0%1st Place
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10.52Connecticut College2.250.0%1st Place
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7.45University of Rhode Island3.070.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| George Saunders | 7.1% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 1.5% |
| Bernie Roesler | 12.4% | 12.5% | 10.9% | 10.6% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Daniel Perkins | 12.2% | 12.0% | 10.4% | 10.8% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Christopher Poole | 3.8% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 3.0% |
| Jeff Goodrich | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 3.7% | 1.8% |
| Andrew Meleny | 5.2% | 4.8% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 2.2% |
| Philip Crain | 15.8% | 12.0% | 11.9% | 11.0% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| David Pierce | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 10.9% | 11.1% | 8.5% |
| Ryan White | 5.2% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 3.9% |
| Sean Andrew | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 9.9% | 9.3% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 5.0% |
| Stephen Byrne | 3.5% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 9.7% | 11.6% | 13.4% | 14.0% |
| Joseph Kelleher | 8.6% | 10.9% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 10.6% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 1.0% |
| Christopher Edwards | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 12.1% | 14.2% | 26.9% |
| Guttorm Straume | 2.5% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 10.6% | 9.6% | 14.5% | 21.8% |
| Stephen Sweriduk | 3.2% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 11.5% | 11.8% | 9.3% |
| Weston Barlow | 6.3% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 4.1% | 2.3% | 0.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.