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📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Vermont2.90+3.66vs Predicted
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2SUNY Maritime College2.45+3.94vs Predicted
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3Connecticut College2.59+2.57vs Predicted
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4Brown University3.05+0.41vs Predicted
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5Cornell University1.24+4.71vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College3.39-2.40vs Predicted
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7Fordham University1.87+0.81vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.83-0.26vs Predicted
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9George Washington University1.63-0.61vs Predicted
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10Yale University2.45-3.94vs Predicted
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11Drexel University-0.19+2.38vs Predicted
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12Webb Institute0.84-1.11vs Predicted
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13U. S. Military Academy1.14-3.07vs Predicted
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14Williams College-0.03-0.97vs Predicted
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15Rochester Institute of Technology0.46-2.98vs Predicted
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16Columbia University0.11-3.14vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.66University of Vermont2.900.1%1st Place
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5.94SUNY Maritime College2.450.1%1st Place
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5.57Connecticut College2.590.1%1st Place
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4.41Brown University3.050.1%1st Place
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9.71Cornell University1.240.0%1st Place
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3.6Dartmouth College3.390.2%1st Place
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7.81Fordham University1.870.1%1st Place
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7.74U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.830.0%1st Place
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8.39George Washington University1.630.0%1st Place
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6.06Yale University2.450.1%1st Place
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13.38Drexel University-0.190.0%1st Place
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10.89Webb Institute0.840.0%1st Place
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9.93U. S. Military Academy1.140.0%1st Place
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13.03Williams College-0.030.0%1st Place
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12.02Rochester Institute of Technology0.460.0%1st Place
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12.86Columbia University0.110.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Crary | 13.9% | 14.0% | 13.7% | 11.9% | 10.5% | 10.4% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ben Wilkinson | 7.9% | 10.1% | 10.5% | 9.0% | 10.1% | 10.4% | 9.7% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 4.4% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Ellis Tonissi | 10.1% | 9.9% | 10.3% | 9.1% | 11.3% | 11.8% | 10.2% | 9.6% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Drew Shea | 14.8% | 15.9% | 11.6% | 13.7% | 11.5% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 4.8% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alex Gatto | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 9.9% | 9.6% | 10.4% | 11.9% | 11.3% | 7.9% | 5.3% | 1.3% |
| Hunter Johnstone | 21.9% | 16.9% | 17.6% | 13.8% | 9.9% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Anders Ekholm | 6.0% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 10.8% | 9.4% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Andrew Britton | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 9.6% | 10.2% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Benjaim Helfand | 4.0% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 10.0% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 4.5% | 1.9% | 0.9% |
| Eric Anderson | 7.9% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 9.9% | 10.1% | 11.1% | 12.0% | 9.4% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 2.9% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Barrett Adams | 0.9% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 12.6% | 20.9% | 32.0% |
| Parker Lyman | 1.6% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 12.1% | 13.1% | 11.6% | 10.2% | 6.0% |
| Matthew Schmitt | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 14.3% | 10.5% | 10.4% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 3.0% |
| Jorge Castro | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 9.0% | 9.5% | 16.2% | 17.7% | 24.7% |
| Skylar Munger | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 6.4% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 12.2% | 17.1% | 14.6% | 11.9% |
| Elizabeth Siegal | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 8.3% | 11.7% | 15.5% | 20.1% | 20.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.