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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy3.01+5.51vs Predicted
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2Stanford University2.93+4.62vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College2.90+3.42vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University2.42+6.04vs Predicted
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5College of Charleston2.23+3.95vs Predicted
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6University of Pennsylvania2.42+2.01vs Predicted
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7University of Michigan1.57+5.31vs Predicted
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8SUNY Maritime College2.51+0.12vs Predicted
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9St. Mary's College of Maryland2.65-1.27vs Predicted
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10Brown University2.85-2.92vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island2.10+0.54vs Predicted
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12Boston University1.79-3.20vs Predicted
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13Harvard University2.31-5.46vs Predicted
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14University of South Florida0.25+1.52vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.24-2.94vs Predicted
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16Connecticut College2.29-7.44vs Predicted
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17Fordham University1.57-5.72vs Predicted
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18Cornell University0.82-4.08vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.51U. S. Naval Academy3.019.2%1st Place
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6.62Stanford University2.9310.1%1st Place
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6.42Dartmouth College2.9011.1%1st Place
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10.04Roger Williams University2.423.0%1st Place
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8.95College of Charleston2.235.1%1st Place
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8.01University of Pennsylvania2.426.8%1st Place
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12.31University of Michigan1.572.5%1st Place
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8.12SUNY Maritime College2.517.4%1st Place
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7.73St. Mary's College of Maryland2.657.5%1st Place
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7.08Brown University2.858.2%1st Place
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11.54University of Rhode Island2.102.6%1st Place
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8.8Boston University1.796.0%1st Place
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7.54Harvard University2.317.2%1st Place
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15.52University of South Florida0.250.7%1st Place
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12.06Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.242.1%1st Place
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8.56Connecticut College2.296.3%1st Place
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11.28Fordham University1.572.6%1st Place
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13.92Cornell University0.821.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JC Hermus | 9.2% | 9.7% | 10.4% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Jack Parkin | 10.1% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Robert Bragg | 11.1% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Spencer Cartwright | 3.0% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 4.8% | 2.4% |
| Brandon Geller | 5.1% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 0.8% |
| Jordan Bruce | 6.8% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Jenna Probst | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 10.2% | 12.4% | 13.5% | 7.7% |
| Benton Amthor | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 0.7% |
| Leo Boucher | 7.5% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| Connor Nelson | 8.2% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Aidan naughton | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 10.9% | 11.1% | 5.8% |
| Tyler Mowry | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 2.1% | 0.9% |
| Henry Burnes | 7.2% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| Chloe Sweeting | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 8.2% | 15.9% | 47.3% |
| Alex Abate | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 10.1% | 11.8% | 11.7% | 7.0% |
| Thomas Whittemore | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 2.1% | 0.5% |
| Clayton Snyder | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 10.1% | 10.5% | 4.0% |
| Seth Rizika | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 11.2% | 17.9% | 21.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.