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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College2.90+5.71vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy3.01+4.45vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island2.10+8.75vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland2.65+3.71vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University2.42+5.06vs Predicted
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6Fordham University1.57+5.37vs Predicted
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7Brown University2.85+0.05vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.66+3.20vs Predicted
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9Stanford University2.93-2.45vs Predicted
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10College of Charleston2.23-0.87vs Predicted
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11Connecticut College2.29-2.54vs Predicted
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12University of Michigan1.57+0.63vs Predicted
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13SUNY Maritime College2.51-4.78vs Predicted
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14University of Pennsylvania2.42-6.30vs Predicted
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15Boston University1.79-6.06vs Predicted
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16University of South Florida0.25-0.46vs Predicted
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17Harvard University2.31-9.39vs Predicted
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18Cornell University0.82-4.09vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.71Dartmouth College2.909.3%1st Place
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6.45U. S. Naval Academy3.0110.7%1st Place
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11.75University of Rhode Island2.102.7%1st Place
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7.71St. Mary's College of Maryland2.657.8%1st Place
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10.06Roger Williams University2.424.1%1st Place
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11.37Fordham University1.572.7%1st Place
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7.05Brown University2.857.7%1st Place
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11.2Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.662.9%1st Place
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6.55Stanford University2.939.6%1st Place
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9.13College of Charleston2.234.9%1st Place
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8.46Connecticut College2.296.7%1st Place
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12.63University of Michigan1.572.2%1st Place
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8.22SUNY Maritime College2.516.2%1st Place
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7.7University of Pennsylvania2.427.1%1st Place
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8.94Boston University1.795.2%1st Place
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15.54University of South Florida0.250.5%1st Place
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7.61Harvard University2.318.2%1st Place
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13.91Cornell University0.821.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robert Bragg | 9.3% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| JC Hermus | 10.7% | 8.6% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Aidan naughton | 2.7% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 10.2% | 11.0% | 11.5% | 5.9% |
| Leo Boucher | 7.8% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Spencer Cartwright | 4.1% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 2.3% |
| Clayton Snyder | 2.7% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 10.4% | 10.5% | 9.4% | 5.3% |
| Connor Nelson | 7.7% | 10.1% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| John Ped | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 9.9% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 4.5% |
| Jack Parkin | 9.6% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 9.9% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Brandon Geller | 4.9% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 2.6% | 1.1% |
| Thomas Whittemore | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 1.8% | 0.7% |
| Jenna Probst | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 10.0% | 13.7% | 15.7% | 9.4% |
| Benton Amthor | 6.2% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
| Jordan Bruce | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Tyler Mowry | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 2.4% | 1.1% |
| Chloe Sweeting | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 7.8% | 16.7% | 47.5% |
| Henry Burnes | 8.2% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Seth Rizika | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 8.9% | 11.3% | 20.0% | 20.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.