← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Dartmouth College3.39+2.28vs Predicted
-
2Connecticut College2.59+3.27vs Predicted
-
3Brown University3.05+1.16vs Predicted
-
4University of Vermont2.90+0.59vs Predicted
-
5Webb Institute0.84+5.69vs Predicted
-
6SUNY Maritime College1.20+3.56vs Predicted
-
7Fordham University1.87+0.50vs Predicted
-
8Cornell University1.24+1.21vs Predicted
-
9U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.83-1.53vs Predicted
-
10U. S. Military Academy1.14-0.23vs Predicted
-
11Yale University2.45-5.34vs Predicted
-
12George Washington University1.63-3.91vs Predicted
-
13Columbia University0.11-0.37vs Predicted
-
14Drexel University-0.19-0.71vs Predicted
-
15Rochester Institute of Technology0.46-3.22vs Predicted
-
16Williams College-0.03-2.96vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.28Dartmouth College3.390.2%1st Place
-
5.27Connecticut College2.590.1%1st Place
-
4.16Brown University3.050.2%1st Place
-
4.59University of Vermont2.900.1%1st Place
-
10.69Webb Institute0.840.0%1st Place
-
9.56SUNY Maritime College1.200.0%1st Place
-
7.5Fordham University1.870.1%1st Place
-
9.21Cornell University1.240.0%1st Place
-
7.47U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.830.0%1st Place
-
9.77U. S. Military Academy1.140.0%1st Place
-
5.66Yale University2.450.1%1st Place
-
8.09George Washington University1.630.0%1st Place
-
12.63Columbia University0.110.0%1st Place
-
13.29Drexel University-0.190.0%1st Place
-
11.78Rochester Institute of Technology0.460.0%1st Place
-
13.04Williams College-0.030.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hunter Johnstone | 24.6% | 20.4% | 16.4% | 11.9% | 11.3% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ellis Tonissi | 10.4% | 11.1% | 12.6% | 10.7% | 11.2% | 10.0% | 9.6% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Drew Shea | 16.2% | 14.6% | 16.0% | 12.9% | 12.5% | 10.1% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| William Crary | 13.1% | 13.4% | 13.1% | 14.2% | 10.9% | 10.4% | 9.7% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Parker Lyman | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 11.2% | 10.0% | 12.4% | 10.8% | 9.5% | 5.2% |
| Andrew Haggerty | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 10.1% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 1.5% |
| Anders Ekholm | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 9.5% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 6.5% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Alex Gatto | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 11.8% | 10.2% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 4.2% | 0.8% |
| Andrew Britton | 4.8% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 9.8% | 10.5% | 9.8% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 1.0% | 0.5% |
| Matthew Schmitt | 2.3% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 11.0% | 11.8% | 10.2% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 2.0% |
| Eric Anderson | 10.1% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 10.3% | 9.9% | 11.0% | 10.9% | 9.5% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.2% |
| Benjaim Helfand | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 0.7% |
| Elizabeth Siegal | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 11.1% | 14.3% | 17.6% | 20.8% |
| Barrett Adams | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 14.3% | 17.1% | 31.2% |
| Skylar Munger | 1.3% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 12.2% | 11.1% | 14.4% | 14.9% | 11.2% |
| Jorge Castro | 0.2% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 10.5% | 13.4% | 19.1% | 25.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.