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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.66+10.01vs Predicted
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2Stanford University2.93+4.52vs Predicted
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3Fordham University1.57+8.38vs Predicted
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4Connecticut College2.29+4.42vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College2.90+1.66vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University2.42+4.08vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island2.10+4.62vs Predicted
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8SUNY Maritime College2.51+0.28vs Predicted
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9Boston University1.79+0.04vs Predicted
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10University of Pennsylvania2.42-2.10vs Predicted
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11University of Michigan1.57+1.58vs Predicted
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12Harvard University2.31-4.30vs Predicted
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13Brown University2.85-5.73vs Predicted
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14St. Mary's College of Maryland2.65-6.26vs Predicted
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15College of Charleston2.23-6.05vs Predicted
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16U. S. Naval Academy3.01-9.73vs Predicted
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17Cornell University0.82-3.01vs Predicted
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18University of South Florida0.25-2.41vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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11.01Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.663.2%1st Place
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6.52Stanford University2.9310.4%1st Place
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11.38Fordham University1.573.0%1st Place
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8.42Connecticut College2.295.1%1st Place
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6.66Dartmouth College2.909.6%1st Place
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10.08Roger Williams University2.424.2%1st Place
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11.62University of Rhode Island2.103.2%1st Place
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8.28SUNY Maritime College2.516.1%1st Place
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9.04Boston University1.795.7%1st Place
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7.9University of Pennsylvania2.426.3%1st Place
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12.58University of Michigan1.572.0%1st Place
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7.7Harvard University2.317.5%1st Place
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7.27Brown University2.858.2%1st Place
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7.74St. Mary's College of Maryland2.657.4%1st Place
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8.95College of Charleston2.235.7%1st Place
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6.27U. S. Naval Academy3.0110.1%1st Place
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13.99Cornell University0.821.7%1st Place
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15.59University of South Florida0.250.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Ped | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 9.6% | 10.3% | 8.1% | 4.4% |
| Jack Parkin | 10.4% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Clayton Snyder | 3.0% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 10.2% | 9.0% | 5.4% |
| Thomas Whittemore | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 0.4% |
| Robert Bragg | 9.6% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Spencer Cartwright | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 1.9% |
| Aidan naughton | 3.2% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 10.1% | 10.3% | 10.0% | 6.0% |
| Benton Amthor | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 0.4% |
| Tyler Mowry | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 2.8% | 0.9% |
| Jordan Bruce | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| Jenna Probst | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 9.3% | 13.4% | 14.2% | 10.4% |
| Henry Burnes | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.4% |
| Connor Nelson | 8.2% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Leo Boucher | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Brandon Geller | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 0.7% |
| JC Hermus | 10.1% | 10.0% | 9.3% | 10.1% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Seth Rizika | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 9.1% | 11.2% | 18.8% | 22.3% |
| Chloe Sweeting | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 8.4% | 17.4% | 46.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.