← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Brown University2.85+5.85vs Predicted
-
2Stanford University2.93+4.53vs Predicted
-
3U. S. Naval Academy3.01+3.31vs Predicted
-
4Connecticut College2.29+4.20vs Predicted
-
5St. Mary's College of Maryland2.65+2.61vs Predicted
-
6Harvard University2.31+1.58vs Predicted
-
7Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.66+3.94vs Predicted
-
8Dartmouth College2.90-1.61vs Predicted
-
9SUNY Maritime College2.51-0.76vs Predicted
-
10University of Rhode Island2.10+1.75vs Predicted
-
11Roger Williams University2.42-1.28vs Predicted
-
12University of Pennsylvania1.59-1.19vs Predicted
-
13Fordham University1.57-1.97vs Predicted
-
14Boston University1.79-5.44vs Predicted
-
15College of Charleston2.23-6.33vs Predicted
-
16University of South Florida0.25-0.39vs Predicted
-
17University of Michigan1.57-4.60vs Predicted
-
18Cornell University0.82-4.21vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
6.85Brown University2.859.6%1st Place
-
6.53Stanford University2.939.3%1st Place
-
6.31U. S. Naval Academy3.0110.2%1st Place
-
8.2Connecticut College2.297.0%1st Place
-
7.61St. Mary's College of Maryland2.657.5%1st Place
-
7.58Harvard University2.316.6%1st Place
-
10.94Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.663.0%1st Place
-
6.39Dartmouth College2.9010.5%1st Place
-
8.24SUNY Maritime College2.516.4%1st Place
-
11.75University of Rhode Island2.102.9%1st Place
-
9.72Roger Williams University2.424.7%1st Place
-
10.81University of Pennsylvania1.593.4%1st Place
-
11.03Fordham University1.572.9%1st Place
-
8.56Boston University1.796.3%1st Place
-
8.67College of Charleston2.235.4%1st Place
-
15.61University of South Florida0.250.7%1st Place
-
12.4University of Michigan1.572.1%1st Place
-
13.79Cornell University0.821.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connor Nelson | 9.6% | 7.8% | 9.8% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Jack Parkin | 9.3% | 10.3% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| JC Hermus | 10.2% | 10.5% | 9.8% | 9.7% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Thomas Whittemore | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.5% |
| Leo Boucher | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Henry Burnes | 6.6% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| John Ped | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 4.8% |
| Robert Bragg | 10.5% | 9.7% | 10.0% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Benton Amthor | 6.4% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| Aidan naughton | 2.9% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 9.7% | 11.8% | 10.5% | 5.5% |
| Spencer Cartwright | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 2.1% |
| Christopher Sharpless | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 4.1% |
| Clayton Snyder | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 4.3% |
| Tyler Mowry | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 2.2% | 0.7% |
| Brandon Geller | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 0.9% |
| Chloe Sweeting | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 10.0% | 16.2% | 46.8% |
| Jenna Probst | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 9.8% | 12.4% | 12.8% | 9.7% |
| Seth Rizika | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 10.4% | 19.8% | 19.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.