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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College3.39+2.29vs Predicted
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2Connecticut College2.59+3.25vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.83+4.55vs Predicted
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4George Washington University1.63+4.23vs Predicted
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5SUNY Maritime College1.20+4.49vs Predicted
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6University of Vermont2.90-1.42vs Predicted
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7Fordham University1.87+0.51vs Predicted
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8Webb Institute0.84+2.49vs Predicted
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9Yale University2.45-3.36vs Predicted
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10Brown University3.05-5.80vs Predicted
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11U. S. Military Academy1.14-1.35vs Predicted
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12Cornell University1.24-2.66vs Predicted
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13Drexel University-0.19+0.33vs Predicted
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14Williams College-0.03-1.11vs Predicted
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15Columbia University0.11-2.25vs Predicted
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16Rochester Institute of Technology0.46-4.19vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.29Dartmouth College3.390.3%1st Place
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5.25Connecticut College2.590.1%1st Place
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7.55U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.830.1%1st Place
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8.23George Washington University1.630.0%1st Place
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9.49SUNY Maritime College1.200.0%1st Place
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4.58University of Vermont2.900.1%1st Place
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7.51Fordham University1.870.1%1st Place
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10.49Webb Institute0.840.0%1st Place
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5.64Yale University2.450.1%1st Place
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4.2Brown University3.050.1%1st Place
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9.65U. S. Military Academy1.140.0%1st Place
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9.34Cornell University1.240.0%1st Place
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13.33Drexel University-0.190.0%1st Place
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12.89Williams College-0.030.0%1st Place
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12.75Columbia University0.110.0%1st Place
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11.81Rochester Institute of Technology0.460.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hunter Johnstone | 25.8% | 19.5% | 14.7% | 13.9% | 10.0% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 2.9% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ellis Tonissi | 11.1% | 10.8% | 12.2% | 12.2% | 10.0% | 10.2% | 9.7% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Britton | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 11.5% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 5.9% | 3.7% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.6% |
| Benjaim Helfand | 3.9% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 10.6% | 10.3% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 0.3% |
| Andrew Haggerty | 2.0% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 10.7% | 10.4% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 4.8% | 1.8% |
| William Crary | 13.0% | 13.0% | 14.4% | 14.5% | 10.7% | 10.6% | 8.4% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Anders Ekholm | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 10.5% | 10.3% | 10.3% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Parker Lyman | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 9.5% | 11.4% | 11.0% | 11.4% | 10.5% | 3.0% |
| Eric Anderson | 10.0% | 8.8% | 12.1% | 9.2% | 10.3% | 11.3% | 10.2% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Drew Shea | 14.0% | 16.7% | 14.6% | 14.3% | 13.1% | 8.9% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Schmitt | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 9.9% | 9.7% | 12.6% | 9.5% | 9.0% | 5.5% | 1.9% |
| Alex Gatto | 2.3% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 11.1% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 5.2% | 2.3% |
| Barrett Adams | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 7.3% | 9.8% | 11.4% | 19.1% | 31.8% |
| Jorge Castro | 0.6% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 8.1% | 10.4% | 14.9% | 15.4% | 25.8% |
| Elizabeth Siegal | 1.1% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 10.1% | 15.3% | 18.5% | 21.7% |
| Skylar Munger | 0.8% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 10.3% | 12.1% | 13.8% | 16.1% | 10.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.