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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Syracuse University1.40+1.93vs Predicted
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2Old Dominion University1.55+0.71vs Predicted
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3William and Mary1.37-0.10vs Predicted
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4Queen's University1.28-0.98vs Predicted
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5SUNY Stony Brook0.94-1.55vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.93Syracuse University1.400.2%1st Place
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2.71Old Dominion University1.550.2%1st Place
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2.9William and Mary1.370.2%1st Place
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3.02Queen's University1.280.2%1st Place
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3.45SUNY Stony Brook0.940.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Murphy | 20.7% | 20.9% | 20.9% | 20.1% | 17.4% |
| Jaclyn Hollander | 24.3% | 23.6% | 21.8% | 17.3% | 13.0% |
| Bill Parker | 21.8% | 19.9% | 22.0% | 19.4% | 16.9% |
| Matthew Sherar | 19.3% | 20.9% | 18.8% | 21.0% | 20.0% |
| Constantine Spentzos | 13.9% | 14.7% | 16.5% | 22.2% | 32.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.