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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University2.42+8.93vs Predicted
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2Brown University2.85+4.96vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College2.90+3.35vs Predicted
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4SUNY Maritime College2.51+4.02vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.66+6.11vs Predicted
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6Boston University1.79+2.68vs Predicted
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7University of Pennsylvania1.59+3.80vs Predicted
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8College of Charleston2.23+0.53vs Predicted
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9U. S. Naval Academy3.01-2.87vs Predicted
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10Cornell University0.82+3.95vs Predicted
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11Fordham University1.57-0.06vs Predicted
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12Connecticut College2.29-3.71vs Predicted
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13University of Rhode Island2.10-1.62vs Predicted
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14St. Mary's College of Maryland2.65-6.15vs Predicted
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15Harvard University2.31-7.42vs Predicted
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16Stanford University2.93-9.51vs Predicted
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17University of South Florida0.25-1.51vs Predicted
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18University of Michigan1.57-5.48vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.93Roger Williams University2.424.5%1st Place
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6.96Brown University2.858.3%1st Place
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6.35Dartmouth College2.9010.9%1st Place
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8.02SUNY Maritime College2.516.5%1st Place
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11.11Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.662.7%1st Place
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8.68Boston University1.795.1%1st Place
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10.8University of Pennsylvania1.594.2%1st Place
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8.53College of Charleston2.236.2%1st Place
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6.13U. S. Naval Academy3.0111.5%1st Place
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13.95Cornell University0.821.9%1st Place
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10.94Fordham University1.573.4%1st Place
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8.29Connecticut College2.296.1%1st Place
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11.38University of Rhode Island2.102.8%1st Place
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7.85St. Mary's College of Maryland2.656.9%1st Place
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7.58Harvard University2.316.6%1st Place
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6.49Stanford University2.939.1%1st Place
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15.49University of South Florida0.251.2%1st Place
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12.52University of Michigan1.572.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spencer Cartwright | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 1.9% |
| Connor Nelson | 8.3% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 6.2% | 9.1% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Robert Bragg | 10.9% | 9.0% | 9.5% | 9.6% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Benton Amthor | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 0.3% |
| John Ped | 2.7% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 3.9% |
| Tyler Mowry | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 2.1% | 0.5% |
| Christopher Sharpless | 4.2% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 9.6% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 3.5% |
| Brandon Geller | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 1.9% | 1.0% |
| JC Hermus | 11.5% | 11.2% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Seth Rizika | 1.9% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 12.2% | 19.7% | 21.1% |
| Clayton Snyder | 3.4% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 9.5% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 4.2% |
| Thomas Whittemore | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 0.4% |
| Aidan naughton | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 10.3% | 10.4% | 5.2% |
| Leo Boucher | 6.9% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Henry Burnes | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Jack Parkin | 9.1% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Chloe Sweeting | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 15.1% | 47.3% |
| Jenna Probst | 2.2% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 10.4% | 13.2% | 13.4% | 9.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.