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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland2.65+6.64vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy3.01+4.13vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University2.42+6.87vs Predicted
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4SUNY Maritime College2.51+4.17vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College2.90+1.35vs Predicted
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6Stanford University2.93+0.33vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.66+4.00vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island2.10+3.40vs Predicted
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9University of Pennsylvania1.59+1.83vs Predicted
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10Brown University2.85-2.88vs Predicted
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11Boston University1.79-2.23vs Predicted
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12University of Michigan1.57+0.34vs Predicted
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13Harvard University2.31-5.35vs Predicted
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14Fordham University1.57-2.82vs Predicted
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15College of Charleston2.23-6.38vs Predicted
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16Connecticut College1.95-6.23vs Predicted
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17Cornell University0.82-3.06vs Predicted
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18University of South Florida0.90-4.12vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.64St. Mary's College of Maryland2.658.2%1st Place
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6.13U. S. Naval Academy3.0111.8%1st Place
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9.87Roger Williams University2.424.0%1st Place
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8.17SUNY Maritime College2.516.3%1st Place
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6.35Dartmouth College2.9010.2%1st Place
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6.33Stanford University2.9310.5%1st Place
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11.0Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.663.6%1st Place
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11.4University of Rhode Island2.103.2%1st Place
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10.83University of Pennsylvania1.593.5%1st Place
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7.12Brown University2.859.1%1st Place
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8.77Boston University1.795.1%1st Place
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12.34University of Michigan1.572.1%1st Place
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7.65Harvard University2.316.2%1st Place
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11.18Fordham University1.572.9%1st Place
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8.62College of Charleston2.235.7%1st Place
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9.77Connecticut College1.954.8%1st Place
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13.94Cornell University0.821.5%1st Place
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13.88University of South Florida0.901.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leo Boucher | 8.2% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 0.7% | 0.5% |
| JC Hermus | 11.8% | 10.4% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Spencer Cartwright | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 2.9% |
| Benton Amthor | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 0.8% |
| Robert Bragg | 10.2% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 10.1% | 9.7% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Jack Parkin | 10.5% | 10.1% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| John Ped | 3.6% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 5.7% |
| Aidan naughton | 3.2% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 7.6% |
| Christopher Sharpless | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 4.8% |
| Connor Nelson | 9.1% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Tyler Mowry | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 0.9% |
| Jenna Probst | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 9.7% | 11.2% | 11.2% | 11.9% |
| Henry Burnes | 6.2% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Clayton Snyder | 2.9% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 6.9% |
| Brandon Geller | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 2.2% | 1.1% |
| Walter Henry | 4.8% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 4.6% | 2.9% |
| Seth Rizika | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 10.2% | 16.4% | 26.8% |
| Andreas Keswater | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 10.5% | 14.6% | 26.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.