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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1William and Mary1.37+1.94vs Predicted
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2Queen's University1.28+1.05vs Predicted
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3Old Dominion University1.55-0.33vs Predicted
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4Syracuse University1.40-1.12vs Predicted
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5SUNY Stony Brook0.94-1.54vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.94William and Mary1.370.2%1st Place
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3.05Queen's University1.280.2%1st Place
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2.67Old Dominion University1.550.3%1st Place
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2.88Syracuse University1.400.2%1st Place
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3.46SUNY Stony Brook0.940.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bill Parker | 20.7% | 20.5% | 21.1% | 19.4% | 18.3% |
| Matthew Sherar | 17.9% | 20.1% | 21.6% | 20.1% | 20.3% |
| Jaclyn Hollander | 26.0% | 23.3% | 21.2% | 17.1% | 12.4% |
| Andrew Murphy | 22.0% | 21.0% | 19.8% | 21.3% | 15.9% |
| Constantine Spentzos | 13.4% | 15.1% | 16.3% | 22.1% | 33.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.