← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Queen's University1.28+2.07vs Predicted
-
2Old Dominion University1.55+0.71vs Predicted
-
3Syracuse University1.40-0.14vs Predicted
-
4William and Mary1.37-1.09vs Predicted
-
5SUNY Stony Brook0.94-1.54vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.07Queen's University1.280.2%1st Place
-
2.71Old Dominion University1.550.2%1st Place
-
2.86Syracuse University1.400.2%1st Place
-
2.91William and Mary1.370.2%1st Place
-
3.46SUNY Stony Brook0.940.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matthew Sherar | 18.6% | 19.7% | 20.1% | 19.7% | 21.9% |
| Jaclyn Hollander | 24.3% | 24.2% | 21.0% | 17.5% | 13.0% |
| Andrew Murphy | 22.3% | 20.1% | 22.5% | 19.3% | 15.8% |
| Bill Parker | 21.2% | 21.1% | 19.8% | 21.5% | 16.4% |
| Constantine Spentzos | 13.6% | 14.9% | 16.6% | 22.0% | 32.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.