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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University2.42+8.70vs Predicted
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2Brown University2.85+5.07vs Predicted
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3Stanford University2.93+3.45vs Predicted
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4Harvard University2.31+3.45vs Predicted
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5College of Charleston2.23+4.08vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy3.01+0.21vs Predicted
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7SUNY Maritime College2.51+1.09vs Predicted
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8Boston University1.79+0.80vs Predicted
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9Fordham University1.57+2.07vs Predicted
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10Connecticut College1.95-0.17vs Predicted
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11University of South Florida0.90+2.85vs Predicted
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12University of Rhode Island2.10-0.55vs Predicted
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13Dartmouth College2.90-6.82vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.66-2.92vs Predicted
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15St. Mary's College of Maryland2.65-7.47vs Predicted
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16University of Pennsylvania1.59-5.30vs Predicted
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17University of Michigan1.57-4.50vs Predicted
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18Cornell University0.82-4.04vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.7Roger Williams University2.424.7%1st Place
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7.07Brown University2.858.5%1st Place
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6.45Stanford University2.9310.4%1st Place
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7.45Harvard University2.317.6%1st Place
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9.08College of Charleston2.234.7%1st Place
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6.21U. S. Naval Academy3.0111.6%1st Place
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8.09SUNY Maritime College2.516.4%1st Place
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8.8Boston University1.795.2%1st Place
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11.07Fordham University1.572.8%1st Place
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9.83Connecticut College1.954.3%1st Place
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13.85University of South Florida0.901.7%1st Place
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11.45University of Rhode Island2.103.0%1st Place
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6.18Dartmouth College2.9010.7%1st Place
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11.08Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.663.6%1st Place
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7.53St. Mary's College of Maryland2.657.6%1st Place
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10.7University of Pennsylvania1.593.6%1st Place
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12.5University of Michigan1.571.8%1st Place
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13.96Cornell University0.821.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spencer Cartwright | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 2.5% |
| Connor Nelson | 8.5% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Jack Parkin | 10.4% | 9.3% | 9.5% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Henry Burnes | 7.6% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Brandon Geller | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 1.5% |
| JC Hermus | 11.6% | 10.8% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 9.4% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Benton Amthor | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 1.1% |
| Tyler Mowry | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 1.2% |
| Clayton Snyder | 2.8% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 5.5% |
| Walter Henry | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 2.9% |
| Andreas Keswater | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 10.8% | 15.5% | 25.1% |
| Aidan naughton | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 10.3% | 7.9% |
| Robert Bragg | 10.7% | 10.4% | 10.3% | 10.3% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| John Ped | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 8.4% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 5.9% |
| Leo Boucher | 7.6% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Christopher Sharpless | 3.6% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 4.9% |
| Jenna Probst | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 11.2% | 12.9% | 12.6% |
| Seth Rizika | 1.8% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 9.8% | 15.8% | 27.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.