← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Old Dominion University1.55+1.72vs Predicted
-
2Syracuse University1.40+0.92vs Predicted
-
3William and Mary1.37-0.10vs Predicted
-
4Queen's University1.28-0.99vs Predicted
-
5SUNY Stony Brook0.94-1.55vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.72Old Dominion University1.550.3%1st Place
-
2.92Syracuse University1.400.2%1st Place
-
2.9William and Mary1.370.2%1st Place
-
3.01Queen's University1.280.2%1st Place
-
3.45SUNY Stony Brook0.940.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaclyn Hollander | 25.5% | 22.1% | 21.5% | 16.6% | 14.3% |
| Andrew Murphy | 20.2% | 22.1% | 21.2% | 18.4% | 18.1% |
| Bill Parker | 21.1% | 20.8% | 21.5% | 20.1% | 16.5% |
| Matthew Sherar | 18.9% | 20.9% | 19.5% | 21.7% | 19.0% |
| Constantine Spentzos | 14.3% | 14.1% | 16.3% | 23.2% | 32.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.