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📊 Prediction Accuracy
80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1William and Mary1.37+1.94vs Predicted
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2Old Dominion University1.55+0.69vs Predicted
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3Queen's University1.28+0.03vs Predicted
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4SUNY Stony Brook0.94-0.56vs Predicted
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5Syracuse University1.40-2.10vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.94William and Mary1.370.2%1st Place
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2.69Old Dominion University1.550.3%1st Place
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3.03Queen's University1.280.2%1st Place
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3.44SUNY Stony Brook0.940.1%1st Place
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2.9Syracuse University1.400.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bill Parker | 21.4% | 20.7% | 19.2% | 20.3% | 18.4% |
| Jaclyn Hollander | 25.2% | 23.2% | 21.5% | 17.4% | 12.7% |
| Matthew Sherar | 19.1% | 19.6% | 20.3% | 20.9% | 20.1% |
| Constantine Spentzos | 12.2% | 16.7% | 17.7% | 21.9% | 31.5% |
| Andrew Murphy | 22.1% | 19.8% | 21.3% | 19.5% | 17.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.