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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University2.85+6.13vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy3.01+4.26vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University2.42+6.95vs Predicted
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4University of Pennsylvania1.59+6.51vs Predicted
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5University of Michigan1.57+7.54vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.66+5.24vs Predicted
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7St. Mary's College of Maryland2.65+0.47vs Predicted
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8Stanford University2.93-1.65vs Predicted
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9Connecticut College1.95+0.64vs Predicted
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10Boston University1.79-1.43vs Predicted
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11Harvard University2.31-3.49vs Predicted
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12Dartmouth College2.90-5.75vs Predicted
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13SUNY Maritime College2.51-4.95vs Predicted
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14College of Charleston2.23-5.15vs Predicted
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15Fordham University1.57-3.78vs Predicted
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16University of Rhode Island2.10-4.35vs Predicted
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17Cornell University0.82-3.16vs Predicted
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18University of South Florida0.90-4.02vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.13Brown University2.858.5%1st Place
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6.26U. S. Naval Academy3.0111.3%1st Place
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9.95Roger Williams University2.424.3%1st Place
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10.51University of Pennsylvania1.593.9%1st Place
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12.54University of Michigan1.572.1%1st Place
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11.24Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.663.4%1st Place
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7.47St. Mary's College of Maryland2.658.2%1st Place
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6.35Stanford University2.9310.4%1st Place
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9.64Connecticut College1.954.2%1st Place
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8.57Boston University1.796.7%1st Place
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7.51Harvard University2.317.7%1st Place
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6.25Dartmouth College2.9010.0%1st Place
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8.05SUNY Maritime College2.516.2%1st Place
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8.85College of Charleston2.235.2%1st Place
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11.22Fordham University1.573.1%1st Place
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11.65University of Rhode Island2.102.2%1st Place
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13.84Cornell University0.821.3%1st Place
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13.98University of South Florida0.901.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connor Nelson | 8.5% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| JC Hermus | 11.3% | 10.2% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Spencer Cartwright | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 4.7% | 3.0% |
| Christopher Sharpless | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 4.0% |
| Jenna Probst | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 9.3% | 11.9% | 13.3% | 11.8% |
| John Ped | 3.4% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 5.8% |
| Leo Boucher | 8.2% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Jack Parkin | 10.4% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Walter Henry | 4.2% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 2.2% |
| Tyler Mowry | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 1.3% |
| Henry Burnes | 7.7% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.7% |
| Robert Bragg | 10.0% | 9.8% | 10.3% | 8.8% | 10.5% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Benton Amthor | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.8% |
| Brandon Geller | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 1.2% |
| Clayton Snyder | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 6.6% |
| Aidan naughton | 2.2% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 11.6% | 7.8% |
| Seth Rizika | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 10.4% | 16.0% | 26.3% |
| Andreas Keswater | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 10.8% | 14.8% | 27.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.