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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Old Dominion University1.55+1.72vs Predicted
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2William and Mary1.37+0.95vs Predicted
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3Syracuse University1.40-0.12vs Predicted
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4Queen's University1.28-0.99vs Predicted
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5SUNY Stony Brook0.94-1.55vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.72Old Dominion University1.550.3%1st Place
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2.95William and Mary1.370.2%1st Place
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2.88Syracuse University1.400.2%1st Place
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3.01Queen's University1.280.2%1st Place
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3.45SUNY Stony Brook0.940.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaclyn Hollander | 25.6% | 21.9% | 21.7% | 16.6% | 14.2% |
| Bill Parker | 19.8% | 21.8% | 20.9% | 18.9% | 18.6% |
| Andrew Murphy | 21.5% | 21.2% | 21.4% | 20.1% | 15.8% |
| Matthew Sherar | 18.9% | 20.9% | 19.7% | 21.5% | 19.0% |
| Constantine Spentzos | 14.2% | 14.2% | 16.3% | 22.9% | 32.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.