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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
5.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy1.97+8.57vs Predicted
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2SUNY Maritime College0.42+7.77vs Predicted
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3Brown University2.40+6.61vs Predicted
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4Harvard University2.08+6.23vs Predicted
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5Cornell University1.68+5.36vs Predicted
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6Connecticut College1.92+3.70vs Predicted
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7U. S. Military Academy2.05+1.56vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island1.77+1.31vs Predicted
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9Stanford University2.61-3.12vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University2.07-1.48vs Predicted
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11University of South Florida0.52+3.74vs Predicted
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12University of Pennsylvania1.90-2.67vs Predicted
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13University of Michigan1.06-0.58vs Predicted
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14St. Mary's College of Maryland2.57-7.13vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.31-7.48vs Predicted
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16Boston University1.65-6.21vs Predicted
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17Fordham University1.89-7.48vs Predicted
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18College of Charleston1.88-8.71vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.57U. S. Naval Academy1.975.1%1st Place
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9.77SUNY Maritime College0.424.2%1st Place
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9.61Brown University2.405.2%1st Place
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10.23Harvard University2.083.6%1st Place
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10.36Cornell University1.684.4%1st Place
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9.7Connecticut College1.925.3%1st Place
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8.56U. S. Military Academy2.055.7%1st Place
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9.31University of Rhode Island1.776.0%1st Place
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5.88Stanford University2.6112.3%1st Place
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8.52Roger Williams University2.076.3%1st Place
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14.74University of South Florida0.521.5%1st Place
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9.33University of Pennsylvania1.905.6%1st Place
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12.42University of Michigan1.062.5%1st Place
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6.87St. Mary's College of Maryland2.579.2%1st Place
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7.52Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.317.5%1st Place
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9.79Boston University1.654.7%1st Place
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9.52Fordham University1.895.2%1st Place
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9.29College of Charleston1.885.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gray Benson | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 3.4% |
| Nick Chisari | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 3.2% |
| Jack Murphy | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 3.3% |
| Emma Kaneti | 3.6% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 4.2% |
| J.J. Smith | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 5.7% |
| CJ Mckenna | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 3.5% |
| James Paul | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 1.1% |
| Parker Colantuono | 6.0% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 3.2% |
| Michelle Lahrkamp | 12.3% | 11.5% | 10.5% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Cameron Wood | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 1.1% |
| Heidi Hicks | 1.5% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 8.2% | 14.1% | 41.2% |
| Javier Garcon | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 2.7% |
| Sherman Thompson | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 9.7% | 13.5% | 16.5% |
| Owen Hennessey | 9.2% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Sam Bruce | 7.5% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 0.9% |
| Micky Munns | 4.7% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 3.5% |
| Kenneth Corsig | 5.2% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 3.4% |
| Axel Stordahl | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 2.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.