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📊 Prediction Accuracy
43.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Vermont3.33+5.34vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University3.07+5.33vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.79+1.97vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.80+7.97vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College2.89+3.19vs Predicted
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6Boston University3.63-0.42vs Predicted
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8Tufts University2.91+0.12vs Predicted
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9Maine Maritime Academy2.81-0.79vs Predicted
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10Bates College2.26+0.29vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island3.07-3.48vs Predicted
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12University of New Hampshire1.65+0.25vs Predicted
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13Salve Regina University2.05-1.98vs Predicted
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14Northeastern University2.70-5.27vs Predicted
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15Connecticut College2.25-4.67vs Predicted
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16University of Connecticut2.51-6.41vs Predicted
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17Dartmouth College3.62-11.44vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.34University of Vermont3.330.1%1st Place
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7.33Roger Williams University3.070.1%1st Place
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4.97Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.790.2%1st Place
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11.97Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.800.0%1st Place
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8.19Bowdoin College2.890.1%1st Place
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5.58Boston University3.630.1%1st Place
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8.12Tufts University2.910.1%1st Place
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8.21Maine Maritime Academy2.810.1%1st Place
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10.29Bates College2.260.0%1st Place
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7.52University of Rhode Island3.070.1%1st Place
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12.25University of New Hampshire1.650.0%1st Place
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11.02Salve Regina University2.050.0%1st Place
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8.73Northeastern University2.700.0%1st Place
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10.33Connecticut College2.250.0%1st Place
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9.59University of Connecticut2.510.0%1st Place
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5.56Dartmouth College3.620.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joseph Kelleher | 9.1% | 10.1% | 10.4% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 0.3% |
| George Saunders | 7.0% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 0.6% |
| Philip Crain | 15.3% | 13.0% | 9.8% | 13.3% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Guttorm Straume | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 8.4% | 11.6% | 14.1% | 24.5% |
| Jeff Goodrich | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 8.6% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 1.7% |
| Daniel Perkins | 11.0% | 12.1% | 12.6% | 10.0% | 10.0% | 8.9% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Andrew Meleny | 7.2% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 3.5% | 2.3% |
| Christopher Poole | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 8.3% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 5.4% | 3.5% | 2.4% |
| David Pierce | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 9.4% | 7.7% | 9.5% | 9.3% | 11.3% | 9.0% |
| Weston Barlow | 7.2% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 9.9% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 1.4% |
| Christopher Edwards | 1.8% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 11.4% | 16.8% | 26.5% |
| Stephen Byrne | 2.5% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 10.7% | 12.2% | 15.1% |
| Ryan White | 3.9% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 10.0% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 3.6% |
| Stephen Sweriduk | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 10.9% | 11.0% | 8.3% |
| Sean Andrew | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 10.3% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 4.0% |
| Bernie Roesler | 11.7% | 10.5% | 11.2% | 12.5% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.