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📊 Prediction Accuracy
5.6%
Within 2 Positions
4.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University2.40+8.75vs Predicted
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2Stanford University2.61+4.05vs Predicted
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3Connecticut College1.92+6.69vs Predicted
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4U. S. Military Academy2.05+4.45vs Predicted
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5University of Pennsylvania1.90+4.13vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy1.97+3.75vs Predicted
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7Cornell University1.68+3.22vs Predicted
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8Harvard University2.08+2.48vs Predicted
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9Boston University1.65+0.73vs Predicted
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10University of Michigan1.06+2.39vs Predicted
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11St. Mary's College of Maryland2.57-4.44vs Predicted
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12Roger Williams University2.07-3.48vs Predicted
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13College of Charleston1.88-3.53vs Predicted
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14Fordham University1.89-4.44vs Predicted
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15University of Rhode Island1.77-5.81vs Predicted
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16SUNY Maritime College0.42-6.17vs Predicted
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17Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.31-9.49vs Predicted
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18University of South Florida0.52-3.28vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.75Brown University2.404.5%1st Place
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6.05Stanford University2.6112.0%1st Place
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9.69Connecticut College1.924.6%1st Place
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8.45U. S. Military Academy2.057.1%1st Place
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9.13University of Pennsylvania1.904.7%1st Place
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9.75U. S. Naval Academy1.974.9%1st Place
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10.22Cornell University1.684.3%1st Place
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10.48Harvard University2.083.8%1st Place
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9.73Boston University1.655.1%1st Place
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12.39University of Michigan1.062.6%1st Place
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6.56St. Mary's College of Maryland2.579.8%1st Place
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8.52Roger Williams University2.076.2%1st Place
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9.47College of Charleston1.885.1%1st Place
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9.56Fordham University1.894.3%1st Place
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9.19University of Rhode Island1.775.8%1st Place
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9.83SUNY Maritime College0.425.5%1st Place
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7.51Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.318.2%1st Place
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14.72University of South Florida0.521.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Murphy | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 2.9% |
| Michelle Lahrkamp | 12.0% | 10.7% | 10.1% | 10.0% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| CJ Mckenna | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 2.2% |
| James Paul | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 1.1% |
| Javier Garcon | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 2.2% |
| Gray Benson | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 3.7% |
| J.J. Smith | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 5.2% |
| Emma Kaneti | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 5.7% |
| Micky Munns | 5.1% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 4.0% |
| Sherman Thompson | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 9.9% | 13.6% | 15.7% |
| Owen Hennessey | 9.8% | 10.4% | 10.1% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.5% |
| Cameron Wood | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 1.5% |
| Axel Stordahl | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 2.8% |
| Kenneth Corsig | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 2.8% |
| Parker Colantuono | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 2.7% |
| Nick Chisari | 5.5% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 3.5% |
| Sam Bruce | 8.2% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 0.7% |
| Heidi Hicks | 1.6% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 11.7% | 42.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.