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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University2.61+5.10vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland2.57+4.45vs Predicted
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3Brown University2.40+6.47vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island1.77+5.37vs Predicted
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5College of Charleston1.88+4.26vs Predicted
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6University of Pennsylvania1.90+3.36vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.31+0.63vs Predicted
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8University of Michigan1.06+4.66vs Predicted
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9Boston University1.65+1.00vs Predicted
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10Harvard University2.08+0.22vs Predicted
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11U. S. Military Academy2.05-2.71vs Predicted
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12Roger Williams University2.07-3.53vs Predicted
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13Connecticut College1.92-3.42vs Predicted
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14Cornell University1.68-3.74vs Predicted
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15Fordham University1.89-5.36vs Predicted
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16SUNY Maritime College0.42-6.05vs Predicted
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17U. S. Naval Academy1.97-7.40vs Predicted
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18University of South Florida0.52-3.29vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.1Stanford University2.6111.2%1st Place
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6.45St. Mary's College of Maryland2.5710.4%1st Place
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9.47Brown University2.405.3%1st Place
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9.37University of Rhode Island1.774.8%1st Place
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9.26College of Charleston1.885.9%1st Place
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9.36University of Pennsylvania1.905.6%1st Place
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7.63Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.318.2%1st Place
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12.66University of Michigan1.062.1%1st Place
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10.0Boston University1.653.7%1st Place
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10.22Harvard University2.083.2%1st Place
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8.29U. S. Military Academy2.057.3%1st Place
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8.47Roger Williams University2.076.4%1st Place
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9.58Connecticut College1.925.2%1st Place
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10.26Cornell University1.683.4%1st Place
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9.64Fordham University1.895.9%1st Place
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9.95SUNY Maritime College0.424.9%1st Place
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9.6U. S. Naval Academy1.975.0%1st Place
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14.71University of South Florida0.521.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michelle Lahrkamp | 11.2% | 11.3% | 10.3% | 10.2% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Owen Hennessey | 10.4% | 9.4% | 10.5% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Jack Murphy | 5.3% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 3.3% |
| Parker Colantuono | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 3.5% |
| Axel Stordahl | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 3.0% |
| Javier Garcon | 5.6% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 3.5% |
| Sam Bruce | 8.2% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| Sherman Thompson | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 9.3% | 15.3% | 15.6% |
| Micky Munns | 3.7% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 3.6% |
| Emma Kaneti | 3.2% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 4.4% |
| James Paul | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 1.1% |
| Cameron Wood | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 1.0% |
| CJ Mckenna | 5.2% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 3.5% |
| J.J. Smith | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 4.5% |
| Kenneth Corsig | 5.9% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 4.0% |
| Nick Chisari | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 3.8% |
| Gray Benson | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 3.1% |
| Heidi Hicks | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 7.9% | 12.8% | 41.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.