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📊 Prediction Accuracy
80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Syracuse University1.40+1.90vs Predicted
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2Old Dominion University1.55+0.70vs Predicted
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3Queen's University1.28+0.04vs Predicted
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4SUNY Stony Brook0.94-0.57vs Predicted
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5William and Mary1.37-2.07vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.9Syracuse University1.400.2%1st Place
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2.7Old Dominion University1.550.2%1st Place
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3.04Queen's University1.280.2%1st Place
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3.43SUNY Stony Brook0.940.1%1st Place
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2.93William and Mary1.370.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Murphy | 22.1% | 21.1% | 19.8% | 19.0% | 18.0% |
| Jaclyn Hollander | 25.0% | 23.0% | 21.9% | 17.5% | 12.6% |
| Matthew Sherar | 18.9% | 19.8% | 19.9% | 21.3% | 20.1% |
| Constantine Spentzos | 12.3% | 16.8% | 17.5% | 22.1% | 31.3% |
| Bill Parker | 21.7% | 19.3% | 20.9% | 20.1% | 18.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.