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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Old Dominion University1.55+1.72vs Predicted
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2SUNY Stony Brook0.94+1.47vs Predicted
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3William and Mary1.37-0.12vs Predicted
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4Syracuse University1.40-1.13vs Predicted
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5Queen's University1.28-1.93vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.72Old Dominion University1.550.3%1st Place
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3.47SUNY Stony Brook0.940.1%1st Place
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2.88William and Mary1.370.2%1st Place
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2.87Syracuse University1.400.2%1st Place
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3.07Queen's University1.280.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaclyn Hollander | 25.7% | 22.6% | 20.1% | 17.0% | 14.6% |
| Constantine Spentzos | 11.7% | 15.3% | 18.5% | 23.2% | 31.3% |
| Bill Parker | 21.1% | 22.2% | 21.2% | 19.1% | 16.4% |
| Andrew Murphy | 22.3% | 22.2% | 18.8% | 20.1% | 16.6% |
| Matthew Sherar | 19.2% | 17.7% | 21.4% | 20.6% | 21.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.