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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University2.61+5.11vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland2.57+4.71vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University2.07+5.51vs Predicted
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4Harvard University2.08+6.13vs Predicted
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5College of Charleston1.88+4.55vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy1.97+3.55vs Predicted
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7Connecticut College1.92+2.62vs Predicted
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8University of Pennsylvania1.90+1.38vs Predicted
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9Fordham University1.89+0.60vs Predicted
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10Brown University2.40-0.50vs Predicted
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11U. S. Military Academy2.05-2.48vs Predicted
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12Cornell University1.68-1.82vs Predicted
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13SUNY Maritime College0.42-3.21vs Predicted
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14University of Michigan1.06-1.50vs Predicted
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15University of Rhode Island1.77-5.68vs Predicted
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16Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.31-8.55vs Predicted
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17Boston University1.65-6.99vs Predicted
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18University of South Florida0.52-3.44vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.11Stanford University2.6111.3%1st Place
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6.71St. Mary's College of Maryland2.579.8%1st Place
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8.51Roger Williams University2.076.6%1st Place
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10.13Harvard University2.083.7%1st Place
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9.55College of Charleston1.884.9%1st Place
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9.55U. S. Naval Academy1.974.8%1st Place
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9.62Connecticut College1.925.3%1st Place
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9.38University of Pennsylvania1.905.5%1st Place
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9.6Fordham University1.895.2%1st Place
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9.5Brown University2.404.8%1st Place
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8.52U. S. Military Academy2.057.1%1st Place
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10.18Cornell University1.684.2%1st Place
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9.79SUNY Maritime College0.424.8%1st Place
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12.5University of Michigan1.062.8%1st Place
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9.32University of Rhode Island1.775.5%1st Place
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7.45Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.318.6%1st Place
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10.01Boston University1.654.0%1st Place
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14.56University of South Florida0.521.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michelle Lahrkamp | 11.3% | 10.3% | 10.4% | 9.7% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Owen Hennessey | 9.8% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Cameron Wood | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 2.6% | 1.4% |
| Emma Kaneti | 3.7% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 4.0% |
| Axel Stordahl | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 3.4% |
| Gray Benson | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 2.9% |
| CJ Mckenna | 5.3% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 3.1% |
| Javier Garcon | 5.5% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 2.9% |
| Kenneth Corsig | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 3.2% |
| Jack Murphy | 4.8% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 3.2% |
| James Paul | 7.1% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 1.1% |
| J.J. Smith | 4.2% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 4.6% |
| Nick Chisari | 4.8% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 3.6% |
| Sherman Thompson | 2.8% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 10.1% | 14.8% | 15.3% |
| Parker Colantuono | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 2.4% |
| Sam Bruce | 8.6% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 0.5% |
| Micky Munns | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 4.9% |
| Heidi Hicks | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 11.8% | 42.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.