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📊 Prediction Accuracy
80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Syracuse University1.40+1.91vs Predicted
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2Queen's University1.28+1.04vs Predicted
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3William and Mary1.37-0.10vs Predicted
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4SUNY Stony Brook0.94-0.56vs Predicted
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5Old Dominion University1.55-2.29vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.91Syracuse University1.400.2%1st Place
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3.04Queen's University1.280.2%1st Place
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2.9William and Mary1.370.2%1st Place
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3.44SUNY Stony Brook0.940.1%1st Place
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2.71Old Dominion University1.550.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Murphy | 21.9% | 20.9% | 18.8% | 20.8% | 17.6% |
| Matthew Sherar | 18.7% | 19.8% | 20.6% | 21.0% | 19.9% |
| Bill Parker | 21.1% | 21.2% | 21.2% | 19.3% | 17.2% |
| Constantine Spentzos | 13.3% | 14.9% | 18.4% | 21.5% | 31.9% |
| Jaclyn Hollander | 25.0% | 23.2% | 21.0% | 17.4% | 13.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.