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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland2.57+5.57vs Predicted
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2Boston University1.65+7.75vs Predicted
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3Brown University2.40+6.40vs Predicted
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4U. S. Military Academy2.05+4.44vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University2.07+3.19vs Predicted
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6College of Charleston1.88+3.23vs Predicted
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7Stanford University2.61-1.14vs Predicted
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8U. S. Naval Academy1.97+1.41vs Predicted
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9University of Pennsylvania1.90-0.16vs Predicted
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10Connecticut College1.92-0.58vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.31-3.77vs Predicted
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12Cornell University1.68-1.86vs Predicted
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13University of Rhode Island1.77-3.97vs Predicted
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14Harvard University2.08-4.23vs Predicted
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15University of South Florida0.52-0.73vs Predicted
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16University of Michigan1.06-3.55vs Predicted
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17SUNY Maritime College0.76-3.32vs Predicted
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18Fordham University1.89-8.68vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.57St. Mary's College of Maryland2.579.9%1st Place
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9.75Boston University1.654.5%1st Place
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9.4Brown University2.405.7%1st Place
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8.44U. S. Military Academy2.056.9%1st Place
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8.19Roger Williams University2.076.5%1st Place
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9.23College of Charleston1.885.3%1st Place
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5.86Stanford University2.6113.6%1st Place
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9.41U. S. Naval Academy1.974.0%1st Place
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8.84University of Pennsylvania1.906.3%1st Place
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9.42Connecticut College1.924.8%1st Place
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7.23Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.318.6%1st Place
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10.14Cornell University1.683.9%1st Place
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9.03University of Rhode Island1.775.9%1st Place
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9.77Harvard University2.084.2%1st Place
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14.27University of South Florida0.521.2%1st Place
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12.45University of Michigan1.062.1%1st Place
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13.68SUNY Maritime College0.761.5%1st Place
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9.32Fordham University1.895.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Owen Hennessey | 9.9% | 10.4% | 10.3% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Micky Munns | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 3.5% |
| Jack Murphy | 5.7% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 2.6% |
| James Paul | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 2.6% | 0.9% |
| Cameron Wood | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 1.8% | 0.9% |
| Axel Stordahl | 5.3% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 1.7% |
| Michelle Lahrkamp | 13.6% | 10.9% | 10.4% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Gray Benson | 4.0% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 2.5% |
| Javier Garcon | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 3.1% | 1.6% |
| CJ Mckenna | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 2.4% |
| Sam Bruce | 8.6% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| J.J. Smith | 3.9% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 4.2% |
| Parker Colantuono | 5.9% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 1.1% |
| Emma Kaneti | 4.2% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 3.3% |
| Heidi Hicks | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 15.4% | 33.1% |
| Sherman Thompson | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 8.6% | 10.1% | 13.4% | 13.9% |
| John Vail | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 10.3% | 15.3% | 25.4% |
| Kenneth Corsig | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 2.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.