Race 1A

maisa-women

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

42.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Andrea Luna 10.7% 11.1% 12.0% 10.7% 10.8% 10.2% 9.9% 7.9% 5.1% 5.7% 2.9% 2.3% 0.6% 0.1%
Mary Kate Mezzetti 8.6% 10.1% 9.2% 11.0% 7.9% 8.8% 11.3% 11.2% 7.8% 5.3% 5.0% 2.5% 1.0% 0.3%
Adelaide Ferguson 7.4% 8.8% 7.5% 9.2% 7.4% 9.1% 10.1% 10.1% 9.9% 8.8% 5.8% 4.2% 1.2% 0.5%
Catherine Shanahan 10.8% 10.5% 11.6% 10.0% 12.8% 11.6% 7.5% 7.1% 7.1% 6.0% 3.2% 0.9% 0.9% 0.0%
Jennifer Borshoff 7.2% 10.4% 11.0% 8.9% 10.8% 9.7% 9.7% 9.4% 8.1% 6.9% 4.4% 2.2% 1.0% 0.3%
Hannah McNomee 8.0% 7.1% 8.1% 8.7% 10.3% 9.1% 10.8% 9.0% 8.5% 9.1% 5.6% 3.9% 1.4% 0.4%
Mary Hall 25.3% 19.0% 15.3% 12.7% 8.8% 8.4% 5.0% 2.7% 1.7% 0.8% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Mary Margaret Meehan 1.7% 2.9% 2.9% 2.7% 3.6% 4.1% 4.2% 4.8% 8.6% 8.0% 11.7% 14.4% 16.3% 14.1%
Caroline Garth 2.9% 2.5% 2.2% 2.5% 3.8% 4.6% 4.8% 5.6% 8.5% 10.8% 14.9% 14.4% 14.0% 8.5%
Arielle DeLisser 8.7% 9.7% 11.5% 11.4% 10.2% 9.3% 10.5% 10.5% 6.8% 5.3% 4.2% 1.2% 0.5% 0.2%
Giuditta Di Laghi 4.2% 4.6% 4.4% 6.3% 6.0% 8.3% 8.0% 9.1% 9.8% 12.9% 9.6% 8.5% 6.3% 2.0%
Sara Klik 1.4% 1.8% 1.7% 1.8% 3.2% 2.8% 3.1% 4.6% 7.0% 8.0% 13.3% 17.1% 15.6% 18.6%
Danielle Sookiasian 1.9% 0.5% 1.1% 1.5% 2.2% 2.2% 1.7% 3.5% 4.8% 5.5% 10.3% 14.0% 17.7% 33.1%
Linor Berezin 1.2% 1.0% 1.5% 2.6% 2.2% 1.8% 3.4% 4.5% 6.3% 6.9% 8.9% 14.3% 23.5% 21.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.