← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Stanford University2.61+4.88vs Predicted
-
2University of Rhode Island1.77+7.05vs Predicted
-
3U. S. Naval Academy1.97+6.28vs Predicted
-
4Brown University2.40+5.64vs Predicted
-
5Connecticut College1.92+4.28vs Predicted
-
6Roger Williams University2.07+2.24vs Predicted
-
7Cornell University1.68+2.82vs Predicted
-
8University of Pennsylvania1.90+0.84vs Predicted
-
9U. S. Military Academy2.05-0.75vs Predicted
-
10Fordham University1.89-0.48vs Predicted
-
11College of Charleston1.88-1.96vs Predicted
-
12St. Mary's College of Maryland2.57-5.70vs Predicted
-
13University of Michigan1.06-0.75vs Predicted
-
14Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.31-6.68vs Predicted
-
15University of South Florida0.52-0.38vs Predicted
-
16Harvard University2.08-5.85vs Predicted
-
17Boston University1.65-7.15vs Predicted
-
18SUNY Maritime College0.76-4.33vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
5.88Stanford University2.6112.1%1st Place
-
9.05University of Rhode Island1.775.7%1st Place
-
9.28U. S. Naval Academy1.975.5%1st Place
-
9.64Brown University2.404.8%1st Place
-
9.28Connecticut College1.924.8%1st Place
-
8.24Roger Williams University2.076.2%1st Place
-
9.82Cornell University1.685.2%1st Place
-
8.84University of Pennsylvania1.906.1%1st Place
-
8.25U. S. Military Academy2.056.2%1st Place
-
9.52Fordham University1.895.1%1st Place
-
9.04College of Charleston1.885.3%1st Place
-
6.3St. Mary's College of Maryland2.5711.8%1st Place
-
12.25University of Michigan1.062.6%1st Place
-
7.32Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.318.2%1st Place
-
14.62University of South Florida0.520.9%1st Place
-
10.15Harvard University2.084.5%1st Place
-
9.85Boston University1.653.4%1st Place
-
13.67SUNY Maritime College0.761.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michelle Lahrkamp | 12.1% | 10.3% | 11.3% | 10.1% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Parker Colantuono | 5.7% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 2.1% |
| Gray Benson | 5.5% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 3.0% | 1.8% |
| Jack Murphy | 4.8% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 3.0% |
| CJ Mckenna | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 3.2% | 1.8% |
| Cameron Wood | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 2.3% | 1.5% |
| J.J. Smith | 5.2% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 2.9% |
| Javier Garcon | 6.1% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 1.5% |
| James Paul | 6.2% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 1.1% |
| Kenneth Corsig | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 3.0% |
| Axel Stordahl | 5.3% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 3.1% | 1.8% |
| Owen Hennessey | 11.8% | 9.2% | 10.4% | 10.3% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Sherman Thompson | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 9.8% | 12.9% | 12.8% |
| Sam Bruce | 8.2% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Heidi Hicks | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 16.9% | 35.4% |
| Emma Kaneti | 4.5% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 3.6% |
| Micky Munns | 3.4% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 2.6% |
| John Vail | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 9.7% | 17.2% | 24.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.