Race 2A

maisa-women

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

42.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Mary Hall 25.2% 17.6% 16.0% 11.6% 10.0% 7.6% 4.6% 3.1% 2.5% 1.1% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Mary Kate Mezzetti 8.3% 10.6% 8.6% 9.4% 9.7% 10.0% 10.6% 9.8% 8.3% 6.6% 4.4% 2.0% 1.2% 0.5%
Jennifer Borshoff 9.0% 11.0% 10.2% 9.4% 9.3% 10.0% 8.9% 10.0% 8.0% 7.3% 4.5% 1.2% 1.0% 0.2%
Mary Margaret Meehan 1.1% 2.1% 2.5% 3.1% 2.8% 3.4% 5.4% 6.6% 6.8% 8.6% 14.1% 15.6% 16.3% 11.6%
Adelaide Ferguson 5.8% 8.2% 7.6% 8.5% 10.6% 9.2% 8.4% 10.5% 8.8% 8.8% 7.8% 3.8% 1.2% 0.8%
Arielle DeLisser 9.7% 8.9% 12.1% 11.1% 9.3% 9.8% 10.1% 8.9% 6.7% 5.5% 5.0% 2.2% 0.7% 0.0%
Andrea Luna 11.6% 12.9% 10.1% 11.3% 10.6% 9.0% 10.2% 8.0% 7.6% 4.5% 2.0% 1.3% 0.7% 0.2%
Caroline Garth 3.1% 2.6% 2.8% 4.0% 4.0% 4.5% 4.1% 6.7% 7.4% 10.6% 13.0% 14.7% 12.8% 9.7%
Catherine Shanahan 10.6% 10.4% 11.3% 11.1% 11.2% 10.9% 11.0% 7.4% 6.2% 4.4% 3.5% 1.1% 0.9% 0.0%
Hannah McNomee 7.4% 7.5% 7.9% 10.3% 10.2% 9.7% 8.7% 9.6% 9.8% 8.3% 4.8% 4.0% 1.3% 0.5%
Sara Klik 1.3% 1.4% 2.0% 1.7% 2.3% 3.7% 4.2% 3.7% 6.5% 8.9% 11.5% 13.8% 19.1% 19.9%
Linor Berezin 1.1% 1.2% 2.0% 1.9% 1.4% 2.7% 2.8% 2.8% 4.4% 8.6% 11.2% 16.8% 18.4% 24.7%
Giuditta Di Laghi 5.2% 4.1% 5.7% 4.7% 6.6% 7.9% 8.2% 9.6% 12.5% 9.8% 9.5% 9.8% 4.1% 2.3%
Danielle Sookiasian 0.6% 1.5% 1.2% 1.9% 2.0% 1.6% 2.8% 3.3% 4.5% 7.0% 8.2% 13.5% 22.3% 29.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.