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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University2.08+9.42vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy1.97+7.72vs Predicted
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3Stanford University2.61+3.03vs Predicted
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4U. S. Military Academy2.05+4.35vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland2.57+1.76vs Predicted
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6University of Pennsylvania1.90+3.39vs Predicted
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7Brown University2.40+2.60vs Predicted
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8Connecticut College1.92+1.44vs Predicted
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9Cornell University1.68+1.06vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.31-2.43vs Predicted
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11Roger Williams University2.07-2.59vs Predicted
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12University of Michigan1.06+0.70vs Predicted
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13Boston University1.65-3.02vs Predicted
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14University of Rhode Island1.77-4.77vs Predicted
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15College of Charleston1.88-5.61vs Predicted
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16Fordham University1.98-6.40vs Predicted
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17SUNY Maritime College1.88-7.43vs Predicted
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18University of South Florida0.52-3.24vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.42Harvard University2.084.2%1st Place
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9.72U. S. Naval Academy1.974.9%1st Place
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6.03Stanford University2.6111.7%1st Place
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8.35U. S. Military Academy2.056.7%1st Place
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6.76St. Mary's College of Maryland2.579.6%1st Place
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9.39University of Pennsylvania1.904.9%1st Place
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9.6Brown University2.405.3%1st Place
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9.44Connecticut College1.925.3%1st Place
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10.06Cornell University1.684.5%1st Place
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7.57Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.318.7%1st Place
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8.41Roger Williams University2.075.9%1st Place
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12.7University of Michigan1.062.4%1st Place
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9.98Boston University1.654.4%1st Place
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9.23University of Rhode Island1.775.9%1st Place
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9.39College of Charleston1.884.8%1st Place
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9.6Fordham University1.985.1%1st Place
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9.57SUNY Maritime College1.884.9%1st Place
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14.76University of South Florida0.520.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emma Kaneti | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 4.9% |
| Gray Benson | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 3.7% |
| Michelle Lahrkamp | 11.7% | 10.7% | 10.4% | 10.5% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| James Paul | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 1.4% |
| Owen Hennessey | 9.6% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| Javier Garcon | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 2.5% |
| Jack Murphy | 5.3% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 3.9% |
| CJ Mckenna | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 3.5% |
| J.J. Smith | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 4.8% |
| Sam Bruce | 8.7% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 0.8% |
| Cameron Wood | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 1.5% |
| Sherman Thompson | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 11.0% | 14.3% | 16.2% |
| Micky Munns | 4.4% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 4.7% |
| Parker Colantuono | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 2.6% |
| Axel Stordahl | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 3.4% |
| Porter Kavle | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 2.9% |
| Spencer Barnes | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 2.7% |
| Heidi Hicks | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 8.1% | 14.5% | 40.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.