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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University2.40+8.68vs Predicted
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2Fordham University1.98+7.33vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University2.07+5.27vs Predicted
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4Harvard University2.08+6.19vs Predicted
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5Boston University1.65+4.93vs Predicted
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6U. S. Military Academy2.05+2.64vs Predicted
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7St. Mary's College of Maryland2.57-0.43vs Predicted
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8College of Charleston1.88+1.69vs Predicted
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9U. S. Naval Academy1.97+0.72vs Predicted
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10University of Pennsylvania1.90-0.70vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.31-3.48vs Predicted
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12Connecticut College1.92-2.27vs Predicted
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13Stanford University2.61-7.00vs Predicted
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14University of Rhode Island1.77-4.63vs Predicted
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15University of Michigan1.06-2.42vs Predicted
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16Cornell University1.68-5.72vs Predicted
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17SUNY Maritime College1.88-7.54vs Predicted
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18University of South Florida0.52-3.26vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.68Brown University2.405.2%1st Place
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9.33Fordham University1.985.4%1st Place
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8.27Roger Williams University2.076.7%1st Place
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10.19Harvard University2.084.4%1st Place
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9.93Boston University1.654.7%1st Place
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8.64U. S. Military Academy2.056.5%1st Place
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6.57St. Mary's College of Maryland2.5710.6%1st Place
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9.69College of Charleston1.884.6%1st Place
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9.72U. S. Naval Academy1.975.0%1st Place
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9.3University of Pennsylvania1.905.7%1st Place
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7.52Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.318.2%1st Place
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9.73Connecticut College1.925.7%1st Place
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6.0Stanford University2.6110.2%1st Place
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9.37University of Rhode Island1.775.4%1st Place
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12.58University of Michigan1.062.2%1st Place
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10.28Cornell University1.683.8%1st Place
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9.46SUNY Maritime College1.884.5%1st Place
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14.74University of South Florida0.521.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Murphy | 5.2% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 3.6% |
| Porter Kavle | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 3.3% |
| Cameron Wood | 6.7% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 1.4% |
| Emma Kaneti | 4.4% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 4.2% |
| Micky Munns | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 4.2% |
| James Paul | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 1.7% |
| Owen Hennessey | 10.6% | 9.6% | 8.7% | 10.3% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Axel Stordahl | 4.6% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 3.1% |
| Gray Benson | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 3.5% |
| Javier Garcon | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 2.4% |
| Sam Bruce | 8.2% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 0.4% |
| CJ Mckenna | 5.7% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 3.5% |
| Michelle Lahrkamp | 10.2% | 10.4% | 11.5% | 9.8% | 10.5% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Parker Colantuono | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 2.9% |
| Sherman Thompson | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 9.7% | 14.0% | 16.2% |
| J.J. Smith | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 5.1% |
| Spencer Barnes | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 2.4% |
| Heidi Hicks | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 12.5% | 41.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.