Race 3A

maisa-women

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Mary Kate Mezzetti 8.4% 8.7% 11.0% 10.5% 8.1% 10.2% 10.3% 8.9% 7.3% 7.7% 3.9% 2.9% 1.4% 0.7%
Mary Hall 23.9% 21.8% 13.6% 13.2% 10.3% 6.1% 3.8% 3.5% 2.3% 1.0% 0.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Andrea Luna 10.5% 10.8% 11.9% 9.3% 9.8% 11.0% 9.2% 10.1% 6.8% 5.7% 2.8% 1.4% 0.6% 0.1%
Jennifer Borshoff 8.9% 9.0% 10.6% 9.5% 11.3% 10.9% 9.7% 8.4% 6.5% 7.9% 3.9% 2.3% 1.0% 0.1%
Adelaide Ferguson 5.5% 8.4% 8.3% 9.8% 7.8% 9.6% 10.6% 9.0% 8.7% 8.0% 7.4% 3.9% 2.5% 0.5%
Catherine Shanahan 10.8% 10.6% 10.6% 11.6% 12.6% 9.6% 9.5% 7.3% 7.7% 5.2% 2.7% 1.5% 0.2% 0.1%
Linor Berezin 1.4% 1.5% 2.2% 1.1% 1.8% 3.8% 3.9% 3.9% 5.9% 8.1% 10.4% 13.3% 18.3% 24.4%
Giuditta Di Laghi 5.2% 4.7% 6.0% 4.6% 6.9% 7.5% 7.4% 8.5% 12.2% 10.0% 10.2% 8.1% 6.6% 2.1%
Mary Margaret Meehan 3.0% 1.7% 2.0% 2.3% 3.2% 2.5% 4.5% 5.0% 6.8% 9.6% 14.8% 15.3% 16.0% 13.3%
Hannah McNomee 7.7% 7.6% 7.8% 9.4% 10.0% 9.7% 9.0% 11.4% 9.6% 6.1% 6.4% 3.7% 1.3% 0.3%
Caroline Garth 2.3% 2.4% 2.2% 2.8% 4.3% 3.4% 6.4% 8.0% 7.7% 9.7% 12.6% 15.2% 12.9% 10.1%
Arielle DeLisser 9.6% 9.6% 10.8% 11.9% 10.4% 9.8% 10.4% 8.5% 7.3% 5.2% 3.1% 2.2% 1.0% 0.2%
Sara Klik 2.0% 2.1% 1.8% 2.3% 1.7% 3.5% 2.8% 4.5% 6.2% 9.2% 12.7% 16.2% 18.1% 16.9%
Danielle Sookiasian 0.8% 1.1% 1.2% 1.7% 1.8% 2.4% 2.5% 3.0% 5.0% 6.6% 8.8% 13.8% 20.1% 31.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.