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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University2.08+9.23vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University2.07+6.49vs Predicted
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3Brown University2.40+6.61vs Predicted
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4Stanford University2.61+2.02vs Predicted
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5University of Michigan1.06+7.52vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland2.57+0.69vs Predicted
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7College of Charleston1.88+2.76vs Predicted
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8University of Pennsylvania1.90+1.18vs Predicted
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9SUNY Maritime College0.42+0.79vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.31-2.36vs Predicted
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11Connecticut College1.92-1.34vs Predicted
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12U. S. Naval Academy1.97-2.29vs Predicted
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13U. S. Military Academy2.05-4.52vs Predicted
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14University of Rhode Island1.77-4.80vs Predicted
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15Cornell University1.68-4.90vs Predicted
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16Boston University1.65-5.96vs Predicted
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17Fordham University1.98-7.71vs Predicted
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18University of South Florida0.52-3.40vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.23Harvard University2.083.5%1st Place
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8.49Roger Williams University2.076.5%1st Place
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9.61Brown University2.406.2%1st Place
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6.02Stanford University2.6111.6%1st Place
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12.52University of Michigan1.062.1%1st Place
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6.69St. Mary's College of Maryland2.5710.4%1st Place
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9.76College of Charleston1.884.9%1st Place
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9.18University of Pennsylvania1.905.2%1st Place
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9.79SUNY Maritime College0.424.2%1st Place
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7.64Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.318.3%1st Place
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9.66Connecticut College1.924.7%1st Place
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9.71U. S. Naval Academy1.975.5%1st Place
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8.48U. S. Military Academy2.056.2%1st Place
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9.2University of Rhode Island1.775.9%1st Place
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10.1Cornell University1.684.0%1st Place
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10.04Boston University1.654.2%1st Place
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9.29Fordham University1.985.1%1st Place
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14.6University of South Florida0.521.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emma Kaneti | 3.5% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 5.1% |
| Cameron Wood | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 1.5% |
| Jack Murphy | 6.2% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 3.1% |
| Michelle Lahrkamp | 11.6% | 11.5% | 9.5% | 9.8% | 9.7% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Sherman Thompson | 2.1% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 10.0% | 14.8% | 15.8% |
| Owen Hennessey | 10.4% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.4% |
| Axel Stordahl | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 3.4% |
| Javier Garcon | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 2.9% |
| Nick Chisari | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 3.0% |
| Sam Bruce | 8.3% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 0.7% |
| CJ Mckenna | 4.7% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 2.9% |
| Gray Benson | 5.5% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 3.9% |
| James Paul | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 1.8% |
| Parker Colantuono | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 2.5% |
| J.J. Smith | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 4.3% |
| Micky Munns | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 4.2% |
| Porter Kavle | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 2.1% |
| Heidi Hicks | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 7.6% | 12.0% | 42.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.