Race 4A

maisa-women

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

57.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Mary Kate Mezzetti 7.8% 8.9% 10.4% 9.7% 10.4% 10.4% 8.4% 9.7% 8.5% 5.9% 5.1% 2.7% 2.1% 0.0%
Mary Hall 23.1% 20.6% 15.4% 12.0% 10.3% 8.2% 4.4% 2.6% 1.8% 0.7% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Adelaide Ferguson 7.1% 8.7% 8.1% 8.7% 8.0% 8.8% 11.4% 8.6% 8.9% 10.7% 5.9% 3.0% 1.9% 0.2%
Catherine Shanahan 9.8% 11.9% 10.5% 12.2% 12.1% 9.4% 9.2% 8.4% 7.4% 4.3% 3.0% 1.5% 0.3% 0.0%
Mary Margaret Meehan 1.8% 1.8% 2.2% 2.6% 2.7% 3.9% 4.4% 7.2% 8.3% 7.6% 11.6% 16.3% 16.7% 12.9%
Hannah McNomee 7.4% 7.4% 7.1% 10.4% 10.2% 9.3% 10.4% 9.3% 7.6% 8.1% 7.5% 3.5% 1.6% 0.2%
Andrea Luna 11.5% 11.0% 12.4% 11.9% 8.8% 11.7% 8.1% 8.2% 6.4% 5.3% 2.8% 1.1% 0.6% 0.2%
Jennifer Borshoff 9.5% 10.6% 9.5% 9.9% 10.2% 10.3% 8.7% 8.2% 8.7% 7.1% 3.7% 2.7% 0.7% 0.2%
Giuditta Di Laghi 5.2% 3.4% 4.7% 5.7% 5.8% 6.6% 9.4% 10.1% 11.8% 10.7% 10.9% 8.7% 4.9% 2.1%
Danielle Sookiasian 1.3% 1.1% 1.2% 1.5% 1.2% 1.3% 2.3% 2.3% 4.4% 8.4% 9.0% 13.0% 19.0% 34.0%
Arielle DeLisser 10.6% 8.5% 12.3% 9.6% 10.8% 10.1% 9.2% 9.5% 7.3% 5.1% 4.0% 2.0% 1.0% 0.0%
Sara Klik 1.3% 1.9% 1.6% 1.8% 3.4% 2.4% 2.6% 5.6% 7.0% 9.3% 11.2% 15.6% 16.9% 19.4%
Linor Berezin 1.5% 1.5% 1.4% 1.8% 2.4% 1.9% 3.4% 4.4% 5.0% 7.3% 9.9% 13.4% 22.1% 24.0%
Caroline Garth 2.1% 2.7% 3.2% 2.2% 3.7% 5.7% 8.1% 5.9% 6.9% 9.5% 14.7% 16.3% 12.2% 6.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.