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📊 Prediction Accuracy
28.6%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy3.74+2.43vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland2.50+4.37vs Predicted
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3University of Rochester0.69+8.36vs Predicted
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4Cornell University2.85+1.70vs Predicted
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5Georgetown University2.74+1.09vs Predicted
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6Colgate University1.10+4.68vs Predicted
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7Fordham University2.61-0.91vs Predicted
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8Hampton University2.11-0.24vs Predicted
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9Queen's University0.87+2.13vs Predicted
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10George Washington University2.67-3.83vs Predicted
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11Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.93-5.52vs Predicted
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12Old Dominion University2.97-6.64vs Predicted
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13University of Pennsylvania1.49-3.58vs Predicted
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14Columbia University1.30-4.05vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.43U. S. Naval Academy3.740.2%1st Place
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6.37St. Mary's College of Maryland2.500.1%1st Place
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11.36University of Rochester0.690.0%1st Place
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5.7Cornell University2.850.1%1st Place
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6.09Georgetown University2.740.1%1st Place
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10.68Colgate University1.100.0%1st Place
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6.09Fordham University2.610.1%1st Place
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7.76Hampton University2.110.1%1st Place
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11.13Queen's University0.870.0%1st Place
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6.17George Washington University2.670.1%1st Place
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5.48Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.930.1%1st Place
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5.36Old Dominion University2.970.1%1st Place
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9.42University of Pennsylvania1.490.0%1st Place
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9.95Columbia University1.300.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mary Hall | 24.5% | 20.2% | 17.1% | 9.7% | 9.4% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 3.6% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Marissa Golison | 7.6% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 10.9% | 9.6% | 9.7% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 1.7% | 0.8% |
| Danielle Sookiasian | 1.8% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 8.3% | 11.2% | 19.4% | 33.7% |
| Jennifer Borshoff | 7.9% | 10.1% | 9.4% | 12.3% | 10.6% | 10.2% | 10.0% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Mary Kate Mezzetti | 7.1% | 7.7% | 11.1% | 10.3% | 9.4% | 9.9% | 10.1% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Sara Klik | 1.5% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 9.0% | 12.1% | 14.6% | 19.4% | 18.3% |
| Adelaide Ferguson | 8.5% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 10.0% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 10.5% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Giuditta Di Laghi | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 11.1% | 8.0% | 11.0% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 1.9% |
| Linor Berezin | 2.0% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 6.5% | 10.8% | 16.7% | 19.3% | 25.1% |
| Hannah McNomee | 8.0% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 11.1% | 10.3% | 10.4% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Arielle DeLisser | 11.1% | 10.5% | 10.0% | 10.6% | 9.6% | 11.4% | 10.1% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Andrea Luna | 9.9% | 10.5% | 11.8% | 11.5% | 12.2% | 10.2% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Caroline Garth | 2.9% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 9.6% | 11.0% | 13.3% | 14.2% | 11.7% | 8.0% |
| Mary Margaret Meehan | 1.9% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 8.7% | 13.3% | 14.5% | 16.5% | 11.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.