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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University2.40+8.71vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy1.97+7.48vs Predicted
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3University of Pennsylvania1.90+6.43vs Predicted
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4Harvard University2.08+6.45vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island1.77+4.14vs Predicted
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6Connecticut College1.92+3.77vs Predicted
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7Stanford University2.61-1.00vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University2.07+0.33vs Predicted
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9Fordham University1.98+0.54vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.31-2.28vs Predicted
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11U. S. Military Academy2.05-2.48vs Predicted
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12SUNY Maritime College0.42-2.32vs Predicted
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13Boston University1.65-3.13vs Predicted
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14College of Charleston1.88-4.49vs Predicted
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15St. Mary's College of Maryland2.57-8.39vs Predicted
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16University of South Florida0.52-1.55vs Predicted
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17Cornell University1.68-6.70vs Predicted
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18University of Michigan1.06-5.52vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.71Brown University2.404.8%1st Place
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9.48U. S. Naval Academy1.974.7%1st Place
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9.43University of Pennsylvania1.905.3%1st Place
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10.45Harvard University2.083.6%1st Place
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9.14University of Rhode Island1.776.2%1st Place
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9.77Connecticut College1.924.9%1st Place
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6.0Stanford University2.6112.3%1st Place
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8.33Roger Williams University2.076.7%1st Place
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9.54Fordham University1.983.9%1st Place
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7.72Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.317.5%1st Place
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8.52U. S. Military Academy2.056.8%1st Place
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9.68SUNY Maritime College0.425.3%1st Place
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9.87Boston University1.655.0%1st Place
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9.51College of Charleston1.885.2%1st Place
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6.61St. Mary's College of Maryland2.579.6%1st Place
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14.45University of South Florida0.521.4%1st Place
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10.3Cornell University1.684.7%1st Place
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12.48University of Michigan1.062.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Murphy | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 3.1% |
| Gray Benson | 4.7% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 2.7% |
| Javier Garcon | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 2.9% |
| Emma Kaneti | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 5.5% |
| Parker Colantuono | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 2.2% |
| CJ Mckenna | 4.9% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 3.7% |
| Michelle Lahrkamp | 12.3% | 10.9% | 10.4% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Cameron Wood | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 1.5% |
| Porter Kavle | 3.9% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 3.1% |
| Sam Bruce | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 0.5% |
| James Paul | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 1.8% |
| Nick Chisari | 5.3% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 3.8% |
| Micky Munns | 5.0% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 4.3% |
| Axel Stordahl | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 3.2% |
| Owen Hennessey | 9.6% | 9.9% | 10.8% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Heidi Hicks | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 12.4% | 41.1% |
| J.J. Smith | 4.7% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 4.2% |
| Sherman Thompson | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 8.4% | 10.0% | 13.5% | 15.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.