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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1SUNY Maritime College0.42+8.61vs Predicted
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2Connecticut College1.92+7.52vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland2.57+3.64vs Predicted
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4University of Pennsylvania1.90+5.22vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.31+2.57vs Predicted
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6Stanford University2.55+0.71vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island1.77+2.19vs Predicted
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8Boston University1.65+2.00vs Predicted
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9Cornell University1.68+1.03vs Predicted
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10Fordham University1.89-0.32vs Predicted
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11College of Charleston1.88-1.37vs Predicted
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12Brown University2.40-2.29vs Predicted
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13U. S. Naval Academy1.97-3.47vs Predicted
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14Harvard University2.08-3.91vs Predicted
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15University of Michigan1.06-2.53vs Predicted
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16U. S. Military Academy2.05-7.77vs Predicted
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17Roger Williams University2.07-8.52vs Predicted
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18University of South Florida0.52-3.30vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.61SUNY Maritime College0.425.2%1st Place
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9.52Connecticut College1.925.7%1st Place
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6.64St. Mary's College of Maryland2.5710.0%1st Place
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9.22University of Pennsylvania1.905.5%1st Place
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7.57Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.318.2%1st Place
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6.71Stanford University2.5510.1%1st Place
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9.19University of Rhode Island1.775.7%1st Place
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10.0Boston University1.655.5%1st Place
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10.03Cornell University1.684.0%1st Place
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9.68Fordham University1.894.6%1st Place
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9.63College of Charleston1.884.3%1st Place
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9.71Brown University2.405.1%1st Place
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9.53U. S. Naval Academy1.975.1%1st Place
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10.09Harvard University2.084.6%1st Place
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12.47University of Michigan1.062.0%1st Place
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8.23U. S. Military Academy2.057.5%1st Place
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8.48Roger Williams University2.075.9%1st Place
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14.7University of South Florida0.521.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nick Chisari | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 3.0% |
| CJ Mckenna | 5.7% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 2.8% |
| Owen Hennessey | 10.0% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 10.3% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Javier Garcon | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 3.1% |
| Sam Bruce | 8.2% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.9% |
| Wiley Rogers | 10.1% | 9.0% | 10.0% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Parker Colantuono | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 2.8% |
| Micky Munns | 5.5% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 3.0% |
| J.J. Smith | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 4.2% |
| Kenneth Corsig | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 3.5% |
| Axel Stordahl | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 3.5% |
| Jack Murphy | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 3.4% |
| Gray Benson | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 3.8% |
| Emma Kaneti | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 4.7% |
| Sherman Thompson | 2.0% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 13.6% | 15.8% |
| James Paul | 7.5% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 1.8% |
| Cameron Wood | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 1.5% |
| Heidi Hicks | 1.0% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 12.3% | 41.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.